London’s Student Housing Shortage Is Turning University Demand Into a Property Investment Race

London’s universities are creating one of the capital’s most unusual property-market imbalances. Hundreds of thousands of students need somewhere to live, dedicated accommodation remains insufficient, private rental housing is expensive and some of the world’s best-known universities continue attracting students from Britain and overseas. Yet producing the additional student bedrooms London requires is becoming increasingly difficult.

The problem is not finding demand. It is finding sites where student accommodation can generate enough income to justify London land prices, construction costs, planning obligations and financing. This distinction is becoming central to the investment case for purpose-built student accommodation. A city can simultaneously have a severe shortage of student housing and a development market in which many projects struggle to make financial sense. London increasingly has both.

The capital entered 2026 with approximately 14,600 dedicated student bedrooms under construction, following several thousand completions during the previous year. That represents a substantial development programme, but it needs to be viewed against the scale of London’s university population and the continuing shortage of accommodation available specifically to students.

Planning authorities are already preparing for further growth. Emerging London-wide housing policy identifies a requirement for more than 30,000 additional dedicated student bedrooms during the decade beginning in 2027, demonstrating that policymakers do not expect the current development pipeline to resolve the shortage.

The implications extend well beyond the student market. When students cannot obtain university or professionally managed accommodation, many move into London’s conventional private rental sector. They compete with workers, families and other renters for houses and apartments that are already in limited supply. Creating additional student accommodation can therefore release conventional rental properties back into the wider housing market. That gives PBSA a role in London’s broader housing strategy rather than treating it simply as a specialist investment category.

For investors, however, demand alone is not enough. The strength of the university generating that demand is becoming increasingly important. A student residence capable of serving University College London, King’s College London, Imperial College London, the London School of Economics, University of the Arts London or several institutions simultaneously has a different risk profile from a property dependent on a smaller university experiencing uncertain enrolment.

London’s strongest institutions possess something particularly valuable to property investors: recurring demand generated by globally recognised educational brands. Every academic year brings another cohort of students. International students arrive without established housing networks in Britain and often prefer professionally managed accommodation. Postgraduate students may require housing for relatively short periods, while first-year students frequently prioritise security and proximity to their university. These characteristics create a customer base that is renewed annually.

Yet the higher-education sector itself is changing. Universities face pressure from immigration policy, international recruitment, funding constraints and rising operating costs. Some institutions are considerably more exposed than others. Investors are therefore becoming more selective about which universities they want their properties to serve.

This is one reason accommodation connected to established institutions is increasingly attractive. The building may physically resemble another residential development, but its economic performance is linked partly to the reputation, admissions and international reach of the universities around it. That creates a form of university-driven property geography across London.

Historically, the obvious locations were close to campuses in Bloomsbury, South Kensington, the Strand and other central districts. But land in these areas is among the most expensive in Britain. Student housing increasingly has to look elsewhere.

Transport is changing what counts as a university location. A student does not necessarily need to live within walking distance of campus if a fast Underground, rail or Elizabeth line journey provides reliable access. Stratford, Canary Wharf, Canada Water, Greenwich and other transport-connected districts can therefore function as extensions of central London’s university housing market.

This has major implications for land investment. Rather than competing directly for extremely expensive sites next to universities, developers can search along transport corridors for land capable of supporting larger and more efficient schemes.

Stratford demonstrates the model. Hawthorne House, a development of more than 700 student bedrooms, is being delivered for the 2026/27 academic year. University of the Arts London has secured a multi-year arrangement covering more than half the accommodation.

The significance goes beyond the number of bedrooms. The project is located within one of London’s most connected transport districts rather than beside a traditional university campus. Students can reach several educational locations across the capital while the developer benefits from land economics different from those of central London. The university relationship also reduces part of the occupational risk.

Instead of constructing hundreds of bedrooms and relying entirely on individual students to fill them each year, a developer can secure a substantial portion of demand through an institutional agreement. This model could become increasingly important.

University partnerships can take several forms, including room nomination agreements, leases, development partnerships and joint ventures. The precise structure varies, but the underlying objective is similar: connect the property more directly to the institution creating the demand.

For developers, this can improve confidence around occupancy. For universities, it provides access to additional accommodation without necessarily having to acquire land and develop an entire residence themselves. For lenders and investors, a strong university relationship can reduce some of the uncertainty associated with speculative development.

The scale of the projects now being undertaken demonstrates how institutional the sector has become. At Canary Wharf, a major student development created in partnership with UCL provides more than 1,600 student bedrooms alongside accommodation for university staff and researchers. Hundreds of rooms are offered at reduced rents under affordability arrangements.

The location would once have appeared unconventional for UCL accommodation. Today, transport connections allow a large residential project in east London to serve a university whose principal campus is several miles away in Bloomsbury. This demonstrates an important shift. London’s student housing map is increasingly being determined by travel time rather than physical distance.

The same principle helps explain investment further east and south-east. During the second quarter of 2026, an investment strategy targeting around 2,000 London student beds was launched with an initial project on Greenwich Peninsula. The first development is expected to provide more than 350 rooms.

At Canada Water, another major project is planned to provide more than 700 student beds. Its projected completed value runs into hundreds of millions of pounds, illustrating how far student accommodation has moved from its historic image as inexpensive institutional housing. Large London PBSA projects now require capital commitments comparable with significant office, hotel and residential developments.

That scale creates a major barrier to entry. Construction costs are one of the biggest problems. Student residences are intensive buildings. Hundreds of individual bedrooms require bathrooms, kitchens or shared facilities, mechanical systems, lifts, fire protection, communal spaces, security and substantial internal fit-out.

The economics become particularly difficult because students ultimately pay the development cost through rent. Across much of Britain, major student-housing operators have warned that conventional new development has become difficult to justify financially. The weekly rent necessary to support land acquisition and construction can exceed what many students can afford.

London can support higher rents than most regional university markets, which helps explain why development continues. Some London student accommodation can generate weekly rents approaching £400 or considerably more for premium rooms. But the ability to charge those prices creates another problem. The city desperately needs student housing partly because conventional accommodation is already unaffordable.

If new PBSA can only be developed at very high rents, it may increase the number of bedrooms without solving the affordability problem for a large proportion of students. This is the central contradiction facing London’s student-housing market. The people who most need additional accommodation may not be able to afford the rents required to build it.

Planning policy attempts to address the problem by requiring qualifying developments to include a significant proportion of lower-cost student rooms. These obligations are socially important but affect development economics.

A developer acquiring expensive London land therefore needs to balance several different rental levels within the same project. Lower-cost bedrooms reduce average income, while full-price rooms have to generate sufficient revenue to support construction, financing, management and the return required by investors. That equation can quickly become difficult.

Land creates another challenge because student accommodation is rarely the only possible use for a site. A development plot suitable for PBSA could potentially become conventional apartments, affordable housing, co-living accommodation, a hotel, offices or another commercial use. Each sector competes through its own land economics.

A student-housing developer therefore cannot simply calculate what a site is worth based on PBSA rents. It must compete against what residential, hotel or other developers are willing to pay for the same land. This is particularly difficult in central London.

It also explains why larger regeneration districts and transport-connected outer locations are becoming increasingly important. They can provide sites where high-density student accommodation is possible without paying the extreme land prices associated with traditional university neighbourhoods.

Planning adds another layer. London needs student housing, but boroughs do not necessarily want unlimited concentrations of student accommodation. Authorities also need conventional homes, affordable housing, employment space and mixed communities.

A PBSA development therefore needs to demonstrate more than student demand. Its location, scale, design, affordability and relationship with surrounding neighbourhoods all influence whether it will receive consent. This restricts the number of sites where development can realistically proceed.

The shortage is consequently not simply a shortage of land. London has development land. What it lacks is a sufficient supply of land where planning policy, university access, construction economics and achievable student rents all work at the same time.

That is a much more difficult problem to solve. It also increases the strategic value of student residences that already exist.

An operating PBSA property near strong universities effectively contains something a developer may struggle to recreate: an established planning use, existing bedrooms and immediate access to student demand. As construction becomes more expensive, refurbishment may therefore become increasingly attractive.

Older student residences can potentially be acquired and upgraded rather than replaced. Bedrooms can be modernised, communal areas improved, energy performance increased and amenities repositioned towards contemporary student expectations. If rents can then be increased without requiring a completely new development, the economics may compare favourably with buying land and starting again.

This resembles changes occurring elsewhere in London’s property market. Investors in hotels are increasingly examining existing properties because replacing them is expensive. Office owners are refurbishing buildings rather than automatically demolishing them. Student housing could follow a similar pattern. Replacement difficulty becomes part of the investment value.

The capital market nevertheless provides an important warning. Strong student demand does not guarantee continually increasing property values.

During the second quarter of 2026, parts of London’s institutional student-housing market experienced valuation declines even though occupancy expectations remained high. The reason was largely financial rather than operational: investors required higher returns from property, pushing yields outward.

The same mathematics has affected offices, warehouses and other real-estate sectors. A student residence can be almost full and generating growing rent while still losing capital value if investors change the return they require from the asset.

That distinction matters because PBSA is now firmly part of institutional real estate. Its performance is determined not only by students and universities but also by interest rates, debt costs, investment yields and the availability of global capital.

Investor interest nevertheless remains substantial. Significant volumes of capital were committed to UK student housing during the first half of 2026, with new investors continuing to target London development opportunities despite the difficulties involved.

The reason is structural. London combines an enormous student population, internationally recognised universities, expensive conventional rental housing and a limited supply of purpose-built accommodation. Few European cities can reproduce that combination at the same scale.

But the investment opportunity is becoming more sophisticated. It is no longer sufficient to identify a borough containing thousands of students and assume a PBSA project will succeed.

Investors need to understand which universities those students attend, whether enrolment is growing, how international recruitment is changing, what rents students can afford and how quickly they can reach campus. They need to determine whether the building can operate efficiently, whether the planning authority will accept the development and whether enough affordable accommodation can be provided without undermining the project’s financial viability.

Most importantly, they need to understand the alternative value of the land.

These factors are gradually creating a hierarchy within London’s student-housing market. At the top are well-connected developments serving strong universities, supported by institutional relationships and located where sufficient density can compensate for expensive land. Below them are projects dependent on premium rents without equivalent university or transport advantages.

The difference between the two could become increasingly important as construction and financing remain expensive.

London therefore does not simply have a shortage of student bedrooms. It has a shortage of viable places to build them. That distinction could define the next phase of the market.

The most valuable development sites may not necessarily be those immediately beside London’s universities. They may be sites several miles away where transport provides rapid campus access, planning supports substantial density and land can still be acquired at a price that allows both affordable and market-rate rooms to be delivered.

Universities themselves could become increasingly important participants in unlocking those locations through partnerships with developers and investors. If that happens, London’s student-housing market will become less dependent on traditional campus geography and increasingly organised around networks of universities, transport infrastructure and large residential developments.

For property investors, the central question is therefore changing. It is no longer simply where London’s students want to live. It is where London can still afford to build the accommodation they need.

Source: CIJ.World UK Research & Analysis Team

Slovak Construction Rebounds as Industry Struggles to Regain Momentum

Business activity strengthened across Slovakia’s main monitored sectors in July 2026, although the improvement remained uneven, with construction returning to growth while industrial turnover was virtually unchanged from a year earlier. Industry recorded a real year-on-year turnover increase of just 0.1%, marking a second consecutive month of growth. However, only six of the 16 monitored industrial branches increased turnover, indicating continued weakness beneath the headline figure.

Transport equipment manufacturing provided one of the strongest contributions, with turnover increasing 13.9% year-on-year, its best performance in 16 months. Machinery and equipment manufacturing rose 16.3%, food production increased 6.4%, and water supply and waste management recorded growth of 8.3%. Other parts of manufacturing remained under considerable pressure, with computer-product manufacturing falling 41.5%, basic metals declining 4.9% and other manufacturing down 14.3%. Electricity and gas supply also recorded a year-on-year decline for the second time during 2026.

Construction provided a more positive signal after contracting in June. Turnover returned to year-on-year growth in July and recorded the strongest month-on-month improvement of any of the five sectors monitored by the Statistical Office, increasing 4.6% after seasonal adjustment. Activity also strengthened in transportation and storage, where turnover increased year-on-year by up to 5%, an important development for Slovakia’s industrial and logistics markets given the sector’s role in occupier demand and manufacturing supply chains.

Information and communication recorded the strongest annual increase among the five broad sectors, with turnover up 16.5%, its highest growth rate so far this year, while selected market services increased 7%. All five monitored sectors also improved compared with June after seasonal adjustment. Selected market services grew 2.5% and information and communication advanced 2%, while industry and transportation and storage recorded smaller increases of 0.3%.

The first seven months of 2026 show a similar divide between industry and other parts of the economy. Information and communication turnover increased 11.6% year-on-year, transportation and storage grew 4.8%, construction advanced 4.7%, and selected market services increased 4.1%. Industry was the only one of the five monitored sectors to record a decline over the January-to-July period, with turnover down 2% compared with the same period of 2025.

The July figures therefore provide a cautiously stronger signal for sectors closely connected with Slovakia’s commercial property market. Construction has returned to growth, transportation and storage continue to expand, and service-sector activity remains positive. The industrial picture is considerably less convincing, with overall growth dependent on strong performances from a relatively small number of manufacturing branches.

Source: SOSR

Slovak Wage Growth Continues as Employment Weakens Across Most Sectors

Wages continued to rise across Slovakia in July 2026, but employment moved in the opposite direction across much of the economy, according to preliminary data from the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic. Average nominal monthly pay increased year-on-year in all ten sectors covered by the monthly survey, with gains ranging from 2.8% in information and communication to 7.5% in wholesale. After inflation, employees were better off in nine of the ten sectors, with wholesale recording the strongest real wage increase at 4.1%. Information and communication was the only sector to register a real decline, with wages falling 0.5%.

The employment picture was considerably weaker. Seven of the ten monitored sectors employed fewer people than a year earlier in July, with transportation and storage recording the largest contraction at 3.1%. Only selected market services, construction and accommodation increased employment, rising by 5.5%, 3.7% and 0.2% respectively. Construction therefore stands out as one of the areas combining expanding employment with the broader rise in wages, an important signal for Slovakia’s development and property sectors.

Across the first seven months of 2026, nominal wages increased in every monitored sector, while inflation-adjusted earnings improved in eight. Transportation and storage recorded the strongest real wage growth over the period at 2.5%, despite the sector’s sharp employment decline in July. Accommodation recorded real wage growth of 0.7%, while selected market services increased by 0.8%. Information and communication remained the weakest performer, with real earnings down 3.4% compared with the first seven months of 2025.

Employment during January to July declined year-on-year in five of the ten sectors. Wholesale recorded the largest reduction at 3.1%, despite delivering some of the strongest wage growth. Selected market services, accommodation, construction and information and communication increased employment compared with the same period last year, with gains reaching as much as 4.7%, while employment in food and beverage services was unchanged.

The figures point to an increasingly uneven Slovak labour market. Employers are continuing to raise salaries sufficiently to deliver real income growth across most industries, but higher pay is not translating into broader workforce expansion. The combination of rising wages and falling employment suggests that businesses in several sectors remain cautious about increasing headcount even as labour costs continue to rise.

For the property and construction markets, July provides a more positive signal. Construction was one of only three monitored sectors to increase employment, with its workforce expanding 3.7% year-on-year. By contrast, the 3.1% decline in transportation and storage employment warrants attention given the importance of these industries to Slovakia’s logistics and industrial property markets.

The Statistical Office cautioned that the monthly figures are preliminary and cover ten selected areas of the economy rather than the entire Slovak labour market. More comprehensive quarterly statistics cover 19 economic sectors and provide the reference measure for average wages across Slovakia.

Source: SOSR

Czech Economy Gains Momentum in H1 2026 as Domestic Demand Strengthens

The Czech economy continued to strengthen during the first half of 2026, with household spending, business investment and industrial production contributing to growth. Inflation eased considerably by the end of June and unemployment remained low, creating a more supportive domestic environment despite continuing uncertainty across European manufacturing markets. Economic output increased by 0.4% during the second quarter compared with the previous three months and was 1.9% higher than in Q2 2025.

Household consumption increased by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter during Q2 and was 2.7% above its level a year earlier. Lower inflation and improving real incomes have gradually restored some of the purchasing power lost during the earlier period of rapidly rising prices. Retail activity reflected this improvement, with inflation-adjusted sales increasing by 3.6% year-on-year in June. Non-food sales were 5.4% higher, food sales increased by 2.1% and automotive-fuel sales grew by 0.3%. Online retailers recorded particularly strong growth, with sales 12.6% above their level in June 2025.

Investment was another important component of the first-half recovery. Fixed investment increased by 1.5% between the first and second quarters and was 7.1% higher than a year earlier. Spending on housing, other buildings and infrastructure, and transport equipment contributed to the annual increase.

Industrial activity also improved towards the end of the first half. Production increased by 4.0% year-on-year in June and by 1.2% compared with May. New orders were 13.1% above their level a year earlier. Demand from international customers was particularly strong, with foreign industrial orders increasing by 19.5% year-on-year compared with growth of 2.2% for domestic orders. Transport equipment, electronics and electrical equipment were among the areas benefiting from stronger demand. The improvement in industrial output has not yet translated into employment growth across the sector, however, with the average number of people employed in industry 1.1% lower than a year earlier.

Construction recorded positive annual growth at the end of the first half, although performance varied considerably between different parts of the sector. Overall construction output increased by 2.0% year-on-year in June. Building construction expanded by 6.3%, while civil engineering activity declined by 5.3%. Residential development produced similarly mixed results. Construction began on 4,013 dwellings during June, an increase of 52.9% compared with a relatively weak June 2025, while the number of completed dwellings declined by 17.8% to 2,699.

Inflation provided one of the more encouraging developments for the domestic economy. Annual consumer-price growth slowed from 2.1% in May to 1.5% in June, taking headline inflation below the Czech National Bank’s 2% target at the end of the first half. Food and non-alcoholic beverage prices were 3.4% lower than a year earlier, while the annual increase in fuel prices slowed substantially. Fuel remained considerably more expensive than in June 2025, but its year-on-year increase eased to 14.9% from 26.3% in May.

The labour market remained tight by European standards. The employment rate among people aged between 15 and 64 stood at 75.5% in June, compared with 75.7% a year earlier. The internationally comparable unemployment rate increased moderately from 3.0% to 3.3% over the same period. Low unemployment, easing inflation and improving household expenditure have strengthened the domestic side of the Czech economy following the period when high inflation placed considerable pressure on real incomes.

Foreign demand nevertheless remains critical because of the Czech Republic’s large manufacturing and export industries. Exports of goods and services increased by 3.3% year-on-year in real terms during Q2, while imports grew by 3.7%. The trade balance for goods and services reached approximately CZK 99 billion during the quarter. The Czech economy therefore continues to benefit from international demand while remaining exposed to developments in Germany and other major European industrial markets.

Public finances remain relatively moderate compared with many more heavily indebted European economies. European Commission projections put the Czech general government deficit at approximately 2.8% of GDP during 2026, with public debt expected to reach around 45.8% of GDP. The Czech National Bank’s August outlook expects the economy to grow by approximately 2.2% across 2026 before accelerating to 2.7% in 2027, with average inflation forecast at around 2.0% this year. An earlier European Commission forecast was somewhat more cautious, projecting GDP growth of 1.8% during 2026.

For the Czech commercial property market, the economic backdrop has become more supportive than during the earlier period of stagnation and high inflation. Stronger household spending is favourable for consumer-facing businesses, while improving industrial production and foreign orders provide a better environment for manufacturing and logistics activity. Rising investment and stronger building construction also point to greater activity across parts of the development market.

The recovery nevertheless remains exposed to external risks. Industrial employment is still declining, civil engineering weakened at the end of H1 and the country’s export-oriented manufacturing base remains closely connected to economic conditions elsewhere in Europe. The Czech Republic entered the second half of 2026 with growth supported by a broader range of domestic factors, but maintaining this momentum will depend increasingly on whether domestic demand can continue expanding while exporters navigate uncertain European and global trading conditions.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

Croatia’s Economy Maintains Growth in H1 2026 Despite Inflation Pressure

Croatia’s economy continued to expand faster than the wider European Union during the first half of 2026, although growth slowed noticeably compared with the previous year. Employment remained relatively strong and consumer spending continued to increase, while construction and parts of industry showed further expansion. Persistent inflation, however, remained an important constraint on households and businesses. Real GDP increased by 2.2% year-on-year during the first quarter before growth moderated to 1.7% in the second quarter. On a seasonally adjusted basis, economic output increased by 0.4% between the first and second quarters. The figures confirm that Croatia remained on a growth path during H1, but the pace was below the 3.4% expansion recorded across 2025.

Domestic spending continued to play an important role in the economy. Inflation-adjusted retail turnover increased by 1.9% during the first six months compared with the corresponding period of 2025. June marked the 39th consecutive month of annual growth in real retail activity, although the increase had slowed to 0.4% year-on-year. Compared with May, real retail turnover rose by 1.5%. Construction activity also continued to increase, with the volume of construction work 2.6% higher year-on-year during the first quarter and 3.1% higher during the second. Civil engineering recorded annual growth of 4.3% in Q2, while activity involving buildings increased by 2.4%.

Industrial activity presented a more uneven picture. Output improved strongly towards the end of the first half, with industrial production in June increasing by 4.3% compared with a year earlier and by 5.3% from May after seasonal and calendar adjustments. Manufacturing production was 4.0% higher year-on-year in June, while intermediate-goods output increased by 14.8%. Other industrial categories performed less strongly, with capital-goods production declining by 7.3% and durable consumer-goods production falling by 13.8%.

Employment within industry also remained under pressure. The number of people working in the industrial sector in June was 5.3% below its level a year earlier. At the same time, industrial labour productivity during the first six months increased by 6.0%, indicating a significant difference between the direction of industrial employment and output.

The broader labour market remained considerably stronger. Approximately 1.72 million people were employed during the second quarter, around 21,000 more than during the corresponding period of 2025. The employment rate among people aged between 15 and 64 increased to 69.2%, compared with 68.8% a year earlier. Around 84,000 people were unemployed during Q2, approximately 2,000 fewer than a year earlier, while the internationally comparable unemployment rate fell to 4.7% from 4.9% in the corresponding quarter of 2025. The rate had stood at 5.6% during the first quarter of 2026.

Inflation remained one of the principal weaknesses in Croatia’s economic picture. Consumer prices were 4.5% higher in June than a year earlier, while inflation measured using the EU-comparable index stood at 4.2%. Energy costs were 13.2% higher year-on-year, while service prices increased by 8.1%. Costs associated with housing, water, electricity, gas and other household fuels increased by 12.0%, while transport prices were 8.6% higher. Price growth for food and non-alcoholic beverages was considerably lower, standing at 0.8% year-on-year in June.

Tourism entered the main summer period from a relatively strong position. During the first five months of 2026, Croatia recorded approximately 4.3 million tourist arrivals and 12.5 million overnight stays in commercial accommodation. Arrivals increased by 6.2% compared with the same period of 2025, while overnight stays rose by 8.6%. Foreign visitors generated approximately 10.2 million overnight stays between January and May, representing annual growth of 9.3%. These figures cover the period before the main summer season and therefore provide an early indication rather than a complete first-half tourism result.

Croatia’s public finances remain comparatively stronger than those of several highly indebted European economies. European Commission projections put the 2026 budget deficit at approximately 2.9% of GDP, while government debt is expected to decline to around 55.9% of GDP. The Commission expects Croatia’s economy to grow by approximately 2.7% across 2026, compared with 3.4% in 2025, before growth moderates further to around 2.5% during 2027. Inflation is forecast to average approximately 4.6% during 2026 before declining towards 2.7% next year.

For Croatia’s commercial property sector, the economic backdrop remains relatively supportive. Economic growth, low unemployment, construction activity and continuing investment provide a foundation for occupier and development markets, while tourism remains particularly important for hotels, coastal property and associated investment. At the same time, higher construction, energy and service costs can affect development economics and operating expenses, while slower GDP growth may encourage businesses and investors to become more selective.

Croatia therefore entered the second half of 2026 with economic growth intact but clearly moderating. Consumer spending, employment and construction remain relatively resilient, while industrial performance varies considerably between individual segments. The central challenge for the remainder of the year is inflation. If price growth begins to moderate while employment remains strong, Croatia should remain on a comparatively solid growth path. If inflation remains elevated for longer, pressure on household purchasing power and business costs could increasingly restrict the pace of expansion.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

Ertan Isen Joins RQI RE.Structuring Solutions as Management Board Spokesman

RQI Immobilien AG has appointed Ertan Isen as Spokesman for the Management Board of RQI RE.Structuring Solutions GmbH as the German property investor expands its restructuring activities. Isen will also serve as Executive Director at the holding company, with responsibility for project structuring across property, financing and investment transactions. A lawyer and real estate specialist with more than 15 years of international experience, he previously served as Managing Director and Group General Counsel of ACRON Group in Luxembourg, where his responsibilities included a property investment platform with around 30 subsidiaries, seven single-asset alternative investment funds and approximately €300 million of assets under management.

RQI said the appointment follows growth in restructuring and complex property transactions. The company reports completing around €900 million of restructuring work through two major mandates connected with the Signa insolvency and acquiring two additional properties in restructuring situations with a combined value of approximately €100 million. Holding CEO Professor Dr Nico B. Rottke said Isen brings together “legal expertise, capital markets experience and an understanding of the property sector,” while Isen said the company intends to use a data-driven approach to identify ways of recovering value from distressed properties. RQI has been operating since January 2024 and has expanded its activities across investment, listed properties, asset management and restructuring.

Belgium’s Economy Stalls as Growth Fades in H1 2026

Belgium’s economy struggled to generate meaningful growth during the first half of 2026, with modest expansion at the beginning of the year followed by stagnation in the second quarter. Services and a relatively stable labour market provided support, while industry, construction, higher inflation and pressure on public finances created a more difficult economic backdrop. Economic output increased by 0.2% during the first quarter compared with the final three months of 2025, before GDP remained unchanged from Q1 during the second quarter. Compared with the corresponding period of 2025, economic output was 0.8% higher in the first quarter and 0.5% higher in the second.

Performance differed considerably between the main sectors of the economy. Industrial activity declined by 0.8% during Q2 compared with the previous quarter, while construction contracted by 0.5%. Services performed better, expanding by 0.2% and helping to prevent the wider economy from slipping into contraction.

Inflation became a more prominent economic issue during the spring. On the EU-comparable measure, annual price growth stood at 1.4% in both January and February before increasing to 2.2% in March. Inflation then accelerated to 4.2% in April and remained elevated at 4.0% in May before easing to 3.3% in June. Energy prices were responsible for an important part of this increase. By June, energy costs were 12.8% higher than a year earlier, although this represented an improvement from the 18.2% annual increase recorded in April. Inflation across services remained comparatively persistent at 3.8% in June.

Price pressures outside the most volatile categories were less severe. Inflation excluding energy and unprocessed food declined from 3.0% in April to 2.7% by June. The figures suggest that the sharp movement in headline inflation during the spring was strongly influenced by energy rather than an equivalent increase across the wider range of household expenditure.

Belgium’s labour market remained comparatively resilient despite the weak growth environment. The employment rate among people aged between 20 and 64 stood at 72.8% during the second quarter, unchanged from Q1, with approximately 4.94 million people within this age group employed. Unemployment declined slightly between the two quarters, moving from 6.3% in Q1 to 6.1% in Q2.

However, the national figures continue to conceal substantial regional differences. The employment rate reached 77.3% in Flanders, compared with 67.6% in Wallonia and 64.7% in the Brussels-Capital Region. Reducing this regional employment gap remains an important economic challenge, particularly as the federal government aims to increase Belgium’s overall employment rate to 80% by 2029. Achieving that objective would require a substantial increase in labour-market participation from current levels.

Corporate failures provided a less positive indicator during the first six months. Several sectors recorded unusually high numbers of bankruptcies, demonstrating that stable employment and modest economic growth have not prevented financial difficulties from affecting parts of the business sector. Transportation and storage recorded 480 bankruptcies during the first half, approximately 18% above the previous H1 record established in 2025. There were also 232 bankruptcies among information and communication companies and 491 among businesses involved in professional, scientific and technical activities.

Belgium recorded 1,184 company bankruptcies during June alone. These were associated with 3,124 job losses, representing the highest number of bankruptcy-related employment losses recorded during a June since 2016.

Public finances remain one of the country’s more significant economic challenges. Belgium entered 2026 with government debt already exceeding annual economic output, while the budget continued to operate with a substantial deficit. Demographic pressures, defence requirements and financing costs are expected to keep government expenditure under pressure. European Commission assessments have placed Belgium’s 2026 budget deficit at around 5% of GDP, while government debt is expected to remain close to 110% of GDP. The precise figures vary between forecast rounds, but the broader direction remains clear: Belgium has limited fiscal room while simultaneously attempting to strengthen economic growth.

The National Bank of Belgium expects GDP to expand by approximately 0.6% across 2026, following growth of around 1.0% in 2025, while inflation is expected to average approximately 3.4% this year. The outlook beyond 2026 is for a gradual rather than rapid improvement. The central bank expects economic growth to strengthen over the following two years, reaching approximately 1.3% by 2028, while inflation is expected to move back towards 2%.

For Belgium’s commercial property industry, the economic picture remains uneven. Continued growth in services and relatively stable employment provide some support for occupier markets, while weaker industrial and construction activity creates a more cautious environment for sectors connected to manufacturing and development. Regional differences are equally important for property investors and developers. The substantial variation in employment rates between Flanders, Wallonia and Brussels illustrates why national economic indicators cannot fully describe conditions in individual Belgian markets.

Belgium entered the second half of 2026 with the economy still expanding compared with a year earlier but showing almost no momentum from one quarter to the next. Services and employment have helped maintain stability, while inflation, weak industrial activity, elevated business failures and difficult public finances continue to constrain the recovery. The remainder of the year will show whether Belgium can move beyond this period of stagnation, with stronger household spending and renewed corporate investment needed for economic growth to accelerate materially.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

Vilnius Office Vacancy Falls as the Gap Between Buildings Widens

Vilnius still has plenty of empty offices, but the city’s vacancy figures are becoming less useful as a measure of what occupiers can actually find. The Lithuanian capital entered 2026 carrying the legacy of an unusually strong development cycle. Office construction had expanded the city’s modern stock considerably, vacancy was elevated and developers were competing hard for tenants. Six months later, the situation is beginning to change.

Office availability declined during the second quarter while leasing accelerated. Newsec estimates that vacancy fell from approximately 9.7% at the end of the first quarter to 8.4% at the end of Q2. Colliers, using a different methodology, places the figure at around 8.2%. At the same time, approximately 81,900 sqm was leased during the first half of 2026, around 63% more than during the corresponding period last year.

The development pipeline has moved in the opposite direction. Only around 65,300 sqm was under construction during Q2, approximately half the amount being developed a year earlier. Together, those figures suggest that the imbalance created during the previous construction cycle is gradually being absorbed, but they do not mean Vilnius is suddenly running out of offices.

More than 8% vacancy still represents a considerable amount of available space. The Bank of Lithuania also continues to regard offices as one of the more exposed areas of the country’s commercial property market after years of rapid development. The more interesting question is where that vacancy is located and whether it can genuinely satisfy current occupier requirements.

Vilnius is increasingly becoming a building-by-building market. Location, floorplate efficiency, operating costs, flexibility, environmental performance and employee facilities can now matter as much as the traditional classification attached to a property. This creates a market in which two office buildings located relatively close to each other can experience very different leasing conditions.

It is tempting to describe this simply as tenants abandoning older offices for new Grade A properties, but the evidence is more complicated. Some recently completed premium buildings are still working through substantial amounts of available space, while established properties in slightly lower classifications can maintain strong occupancy. Colliers’ Q2 figures illustrate this difference, with vacancy among speculative Class A offices remaining around 10–10.5%, while the figure for B1 properties was approximately 4.5–5%.

The numbers suggest that a Grade A label alone is no guarantee that tenants will arrive. Timing, location, rent, building design and the amount of competing space nearby remain important. Vilnius’s central business district provides another example. Despite the improving citywide picture, Colliers estimates CBD vacancy at approximately 14%. This demonstrates how an overall vacancy rate of just above 8% can conceal much higher availability within individual parts of the city.

Hybrid working has added another layer. Many companies no longer calculate their office requirements simply by multiplying employee numbers by a fixed amount of space. Flexible working arrangements allow some businesses to occupy smaller premises while simultaneously placing greater importance on the quality of the workplace employees are expected to visit. A company may therefore reduce the amount of space it leases while upgrading the quality of the building it occupies.

For landlords, this changes the competitive environment. Owners can no longer assume that falling citywide vacancy will automatically improve the performance of every office building. Properties that fail to satisfy changing tenant requirements may continue carrying empty floors even as better-positioned competitors fill. Landlords have responded with more flexible lease structures, rent-free periods, fit-out contributions and other incentives rather than relying entirely on reductions in advertised rents.

For investors, the divergence creates another problem. The investment risk attached to an office building increasingly depends on more than its location and existing rent roll. A well-occupied property with efficient energy use, adaptable floors and tenants willing to renew leases represents a very different proposition from a building requiring substantial refurbishment to remain competitive. As a result, the difference in value between successful and struggling offices could become increasingly important even within the same submarket.

The Bank of Lithuania’s caution towards the sector therefore remains relevant. Vilnius office stock has expanded enormously over the past decade, while working patterns and occupier requirements have changed. Prime office values also remain below their previous peak following the repricing caused by higher financing costs.

At the same time, another risk is beginning to emerge alongside the existing oversupply. Developers responded to elevated vacancy by reducing construction. That was a rational reaction to the market conditions of the past several years, but office development has a long lead time. If fewer projects start today, fewer buildings will reach the market several years from now.

Should leasing remain strong while construction stays subdued, Vilnius could eventually encounter shortages within particular categories of office space even while substantial vacancy remains elsewhere. This would not mean the city had run out of offices. It could instead mean that a company searching for several thousand square metres in a particular location and requiring modern technical standards, efficient operating costs and suitable employee facilities finds relatively few realistic alternatives.

That distinction will become increasingly important as the development pipeline for 2027, 2028 and 2029 takes shape. Developers controlling suitable sites may eventually find themselves in a stronger position if available modern space continues to decline. But restarting the development cycle will require confidence that today’s leasing improvement is sustainable rather than simply the absorption of buildings completed during the previous cycle.

For owners of less competitive offices, waiting for the wider market to improve may not be enough. Some properties will require investment to improve energy performance, interiors and amenities. Others may need more extensive repositioning, while buildings that can no longer compete economically as offices could eventually face pressure for alternative uses where planning and construction conditions permit.

Vilnius therefore remains an office market with excess space, but increasingly the important issue is not how many square metres are empty, but which square metres are empty. The city is moving away from a period in which oversupply affected almost every landlord in broadly similar ways. The next stage is likely to produce a clearer separation between buildings capable of attracting modern occupiers and those that struggle despite an improving market around them.

If leasing continues to strengthen while developers remain cautious, that separation could become even more pronounced. Vilnius may still have an office vacancy problem. Increasingly, however, it is becoming a problem of having vacant space in the wrong buildings rather than simply having too many offices.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

Austria’s Economy Struggles to Gain Momentum in H1 2026

Austria’s economy delivered a mixed performance during the first half of 2026, with stronger exports and pockets of industrial resilience offset by weak domestic activity, renewed inflationary pressure and continued difficulties in construction. The year began with modest economic expansion, but momentum faded during the spring. Real GDP increased by 0.1% in the first quarter compared with the previous three months before declining by 0.1% in the second quarter. Compared with a year earlier, economic output was 0.8% higher in Q1 and 0.4% higher in Q2.

The figures indicate that Austria has moved beyond the prolonged period of economic contraction experienced in previous years, although the subsequent recovery remains weak. The small decline during the second quarter was also below earlier expectations, reinforcing concerns that domestic demand has not yet become strong enough to generate sustained expansion. Construction remained among the weaker parts of the economy during the period. Industrial activity proved comparatively more resilient, while corporate spending on machinery and equipment provided some support to investment.

Households faced another challenge as inflation accelerated during the spring. Annual consumer-price growth stood at 2.0% in January and 2.2% in February before increasing to 3.2% in March. Inflation subsequently reached 3.4% in April and 3.7% in May before easing to 3.2% in June. Energy costs contributed significantly to the renewed increase in prices, creating a more difficult environment for household purchasing power just as stronger consumer expenditure had been expected to contribute to Austria’s recovery.

Retail activity reflected this uneven environment. Inflation-adjusted turnover weakened during April and May before recovering in June. Real retail turnover, including filling stations, increased by 2.3% year-on-year in June, while nominal turnover rose by 4.5%.

Austria’s labour market remained relatively stable in headline terms, but changes beneath the overall employment figure suggest companies continued to operate cautiously. Around 4.50 million people were employed during the second quarter, little changed from the corresponding period of 2025. The balance between full-time and part-time work shifted noticeably, with part-time employment increasing by approximately 57,200 people year-on-year while full-time employment declined by around 57,400. The share of employees working part-time consequently reached 32.1%.

Unemployment also moved moderately higher. Approximately 272,100 people were unemployed during the second quarter, an increase of 11,100 compared with a year earlier. The internationally comparable unemployment rate increased from 5.5% in Q2 2025 to 5.7% in Q2 2026.

Foreign trade was one of the more positive elements of the first-half economy. Austria exported goods worth approximately €100.1 billion between January and June, representing growth of 5.4% compared with H1 2025. Imports increased by 5.9% to approximately €103.8 billion. As imports grew slightly faster than exports, Austria recorded a merchandise trade deficit of approximately €3.7 billion during the six-month period, compared with around €3.1 billion a year earlier.

European markets provided much of the improvement in Austrian exports. Shipments to EU countries increased by 6.6% to approximately €68.6 billion. Germany remained Austria’s most important trading partner, with exports to the country increasing by 5.9%. Exports to Italy grew by 10.0%, while shipments to the United Kingdom increased by 15.1%. Conditions were less favourable in several major markets outside Europe. Austrian exports to the United States declined by 4.0%, while exports to China fell by 6.7%. At the same time, imports from China increased by 22.0%.

Public finances represent another constraint on the pace of recovery. Government debt stood at approximately €431.4 billion at the end of the first quarter, equivalent to 83.5% of GDP. This represented an increase of approximately €13.3 billion from the end of 2025. Austria therefore faces the difficult combination of rebuilding economic growth while reducing pressure on its public finances. Higher expenditure requirements across areas including healthcare, long-term care, defence and debt servicing are limiting the government’s financial flexibility.

The outlook for the remainder of the year remains cautious. The Austrian National Bank reduced its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% in September, compared with the 0.6% expected in its June forecast. The revision followed weaker economic activity during the first six months of the year. A more visible recovery is expected in 2027, when the central bank forecasts economic growth of approximately 1.3%. Inflation is expected to average around 3.0% during 2026 before slowing to approximately 2.3% next year.

Austria consequently entered the second half of 2026 with its economic recovery still fragile. Export growth and parts of the industrial economy are providing support, but these improvements have yet to translate into stronger domestic consumption, employment growth or a broad acceleration in investment.

For the property industry, the economic environment points towards continued caution rather than rapid expansion. Limited GDP growth may restrain companies’ willingness to increase their occupational footprint, while continued weakness in construction could gradually reduce the delivery of new modern space in selected markets. The second half of the year will therefore provide an important test of whether Austria’s improving export performance can spread into the wider economy. A sustained recovery will depend increasingly on businesses investing, households spending and employment strengthening rather than simply on the country avoiding another prolonged period of contraction.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

Planning Certainty Creates a New Divide in Poland’s Land Market

Poland’s new spatial planning framework is changing the way development land is assessed, with sites offering a clear route to construction increasingly differentiated from properties whose future use remains uncertain. The land market is entering a period in which location alone may no longer be enough to support development values. Following the latest stage of the country’s planning reform, the legal status of a site and the certainty surrounding its future use are becoming increasingly important considerations for investors and developers.

The change became particularly significant at the end of August 2026. Municipalities have been moving from the previous planning framework towards new general plans that will determine the broad parameters for future development. However, a large proportion of local authorities had not completed that process when the transition deadline arrived. According to the Ministry of Development and Technology, 877 municipalities had adopted and published general plans by 31 August 2026, equivalent to 35.37% of municipalities nationwide.

The incomplete transition does not mean that development has stopped across the remainder of the country. Existing local zoning plans remain effective, as do previously issued development-condition decisions. Proceedings based on applications submitted before the deadline can also continue under transitional arrangements. The position is more complicated for land where development rights have not yet been established.

From September, municipalities without an effective general plan face restrictions on issuing new development-condition decisions and, subject to transitional exceptions, progressing new or amended local plans. These limitations are temporary and disappear as individual municipalities complete their general plans, but they create an important distinction in the land market in the meantime.

For investors, the result is an increasing premium on certainty. A development site already covered by an appropriate local plan or supported by an existing development decision offers a substantially clearer route towards construction than land where the owner is relying on future changes to planning rules.

“Investors are no longer buying just a plot of land — above all, they are buying predictability regarding its future use,” says Katarzyna Tencza, Transaction Director at Walter Herz.

This changes the risk calculation behind land acquisition. Investors assessing an unplanned site increasingly need to consider not simply what could theoretically be built there, but whether the emerging municipal planning framework will actually permit the proposed development.

The general plan consequently becomes an important filter for future development potential. The designation given to a particular area can influence whether residential, commercial or other forms of development can subsequently proceed. That distinction could become particularly important for speculative land acquisitions. Sites previously valued partly on expectations that development permission could eventually be secured may attract greater scrutiny where the future planning position remains unresolved.

The transition is particularly relevant in Poland’s largest property markets, where land values and development pressure are highest. Warsaw is among the cities still moving through the process of introducing its new planning framework. The implications extend beyond conventional development land because planning certainty also affects the feasibility of transforming existing commercial properties into alternative uses.

Older offices, retail properties and former industrial sites have increasingly attracted attention as potential locations for residential and mixed-use projects. Where redevelopment depends on a planning change, uncertainty over future land use can delay acquisition decisions or affect the price investors are prepared to pay.

Kraków presents a somewhat different situation because a large proportion of the city already has detailed local planning coverage. As of 1 August 2026, 287 local plans covered 82.5% of the city’s territory. The city nevertheless illustrates how Poland’s new investment-planning mechanism is beginning to develop alongside the wider reform. By late August, Kraków reported 40 integrated investment plans under preparation.

These plans provide a mechanism through which an investor can propose a development together with associated improvements required by the municipality. They can potentially be used for complex redevelopment projects where investment in roads, public facilities, utilities or other supporting infrastructure forms part of the agreement surrounding the development. Their importance is likely to grow following the end of the previous special residential development framework, although their effectiveness will depend heavily on how quickly municipalities adapt their planning administrations and how efficiently individual proposals can move through negotiations and approval.

For the land market, this creates a growing distinction between development-ready property and land carrying significant planning risk. A plot with established planning parameters provides investors with greater visibility over density, permitted use and the route towards construction. By contrast, land whose value depends heavily on a future planning decision now carries additional uncertainty over both timing and development potential.

That difference can ultimately translate into price. Rather than producing uniform increases in land values, the reform may therefore lead to greater price differentiation. Sites with secure development potential could command stronger investor interest, while speculative plots may require greater discounts to compensate buyers for planning and timing risks.

This could also affect the geography of development capital. Cities and municipalities that complete their new planning frameworks earlier may temporarily offer developers greater certainty than locations where the transition remains unfinished. Investors comparing otherwise similar opportunities may increasingly consider the efficiency and predictability of the local planning environment alongside traditional measures such as land price, infrastructure, demographics and expected selling prices.

The consequences for housing construction will take longer to become visible. Projects reaching the market in 2026 were generally initiated under earlier planning conditions. Any reduction in the flow of newly entitled development sites would therefore appear first in land transactions and project pipelines before becoming visible in construction starts and completed housing.

This creates a potential risk for 2027 and beyond. If planning delays persist in major development markets, some projects could be pushed further into the future, particularly those involving land without established development rights or complicated changes of use. That does not mean Poland is facing an immediate nationwide shortage of developable land. Existing local plans continue to support substantial development activity, while municipalities will progressively complete their new planning documents.

The more significant change is how investors are likely to evaluate risk during the transition. For years, developers could acquire certain sites partly on the expectation that their development potential would eventually be established through the planning process. Under the emerging framework, that assumption becomes more dependent on decisions already embedded in municipal planning policy.

As a result, Poland’s planning reform is beginning to divide the land market into two increasingly distinct categories: property where the path towards development is reasonably predictable, and property where a substantial part of its potential value remains dependent on future planning decisions. In that environment, the most valuable characteristic of development land may increasingly be not simply where it is located, but how certain an investor can be about what can ultimately be built there.

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