Sandoz Deepens Slovenia Life Sciences Cluster with $300 Million Ljubljana Plant

Sandoz is preparing another major pharmaceutical investment in Slovenia, committing around $300 million to a new biosimilar drug-substance manufacturing facility in Ljubljana. The project will expand the company’s European production network and further strengthen the Slovenian capital’s position as a centre for pharmaceutical research and advanced manufacturing.

The facility is expected to become operational in 2029 and will add 8,000 litres of biological drug-substance capacity through four reactors. It will be designed for low- and medium-volume products and will support both clinical programmes and medicines that have progressed into commercial production.

The location is particularly significant from an industrial development perspective. Sandoz plans to build the plant next to its recently opened biosimilar development centre in Ljubljana, bringing research and manufacturing activities into the same cluster. The proximity is intended to make it easier to transfer products from development into larger-scale production and give the company greater control over the process from laboratory work through to manufacturing.

The adjoining development centre, inaugurated in June, represents a separate $99 million investment. Covering approximately 10,000 sqm and employing more than 200 scientists, it substantially increased Sandoz’s in-house biosimilar research capabilities in Slovenia.

“This investment reflects our confidence in the long-term growth potential of biosimilars and our ambition to maximise the full potential of the upcoming opportunity through our Bio100 goal,” said Richard Saynor, CEO of Sandoz. He added that expanding manufacturing capacity would support the company’s future portfolio and improve its control over supply.

The latest project comes on top of an extensive Sandoz investment programme already underway in Slovenia. The company previously committed around $1.1 billion through 2029 to facilities in Ljubljana, Lendava and Brnik. Lendava is being developed as a major biosimilar drug-substance production location, while Brnik is intended for sterile manufacturing and packaging.

The concentration of these investments is significant for Slovenia’s industrial property market. Pharmaceutical and biotechnology manufacturing requires considerably more specialised infrastructure than conventional industrial development, including controlled production environments, sophisticated utilities, reliable energy and water supplies, laboratories and access to highly qualified employees. Once such infrastructure and expertise are established in a location, they can create conditions for further investment around the existing cluster.

Sandoz’s expansion also demonstrates how Central and Eastern European industrial investment is moving beyond the region’s traditional strengths in automotive production, general manufacturing and logistics. Life sciences can bring higher-value research and manufacturing functions while requiring specialised buildings that are difficult to relocate or replicate quickly.

The Ljubljana project forms part of Sandoz’s longer-term expansion in biosimilars. The company is targeting a portfolio of more than 100 biosimilars by 2040, compared with 13 currently marketed, as patents covering a substantial number of existing biological medicines expire over the coming years.

For Slovenia, the $300 million investment therefore represents more than another manufacturing plant. Combined with the new Ljubljana research centre and Sandoz’s other production investments, it is creating an increasingly integrated life sciences network connecting research, product development, drug-substance manufacturing and final production within a relatively concentrated geographic market.

Poland’s Fuel Station Networks Become a Property Play as Operators Reshape Portfolios

Poland’s filling-station market is becoming increasingly concentrated among a small group of large operators, while the expansion of convenience retail, food services and electric vehicle charging is changing the commercial role of the properties themselves.

At the end of August 2026, Orlen remained by far the country’s largest network with 1,969 stations, 13 more than a year earlier. BP ranked second with 573 locations, followed closely by Moya with 549. Moya added 21 stations over the previous 12 months, representing the strongest annual expansion among Poland’s three largest operators.

The next tier consisted of MOL with 455 stations, Shell with 443, Circle K with 391 and Avia with 152. Together, the seven largest networks operated 4,532 stations. Compared with the 7,919 filling stations recorded across Poland at the end of 2025, these operators account for approximately 57% of the national network.

The direction of individual portfolios is becoming increasingly varied. Orlen, Moya and Avia expanded their networks over the year to August, while BP, MOL, Shell and Circle K operated fewer locations than 12 months earlier. The movements remain relatively modest compared with the size of the overall market, but they indicate that operators are becoming more selective about where they expand and which locations they retain.

For commercial real estate, the more important question is what these thousands of properties are becoming. Fuel is increasingly only one element of the business generated by a modern roadside location. Convenience stores, coffee, food and other services have become important sources of customer spending, meaning the commercial performance of a filling station increasingly depends on its ability to function as a broader retail and mobility destination.

Orlen illustrates the scale of this evolution. At the end of 2025, 1,924 of its 1,964 Polish stations offered food services, while 1,425 operated the newer Stop Cafe 2.0 format. The group was also developing infrastructure for alternative fuels and electric vehicle charging alongside its conventional network.

Electrification introduces another property consideration. Poland finished 2025 with 11,762 publicly accessible EV charging points, while the number of high-powered charging locations continued to increase. This means access to sufficient electricity capacity could become progressively more important when operators assess existing stations or choose sites for future development.

Road visibility, traffic volumes and convenient access will remain fundamental to filling-station property, but they are increasingly being joined by electricity availability, plot size, parking capacity and the ability to accommodate multiple charging points. Locations capable of combining conventional refuelling with rapid charging, retail and food services could therefore command different economics from sites dependent predominantly on petrol and diesel sales.

Electric vehicles could also change how customers interact with the property. Filling a conventional vehicle normally requires only a short visit, whereas charging can keep motorists at a site for considerably longer. That creates an opportunity for operators to capture additional spending on food, beverages and convenience retail, potentially making the quality of the commercial offer more important to the economics of individual locations.

Ownership of the underlying real estate represents another potential investment angle. Filling stations occupy specialised sites ranging from valuable urban roadside plots to motorway junctions and regional transport corridors. As operators reshape their networks, decisions about whether to own, lease, redevelop or dispose of these properties could become increasingly significant for real estate investors and developers.

Electrification does not necessarily mean Poland’s existing filling-station network will become obsolete. Instead, it could produce a growing divide between properties capable of adapting to new mobility requirements and those constrained by limited space, insufficient electricity capacity or weaker locations.

With almost 8,000 filling stations across Poland and the seven largest operators controlling more than half of the network, the sector represents a substantial portfolio of specialised commercial real estate. The future value of these properties will increasingly depend not simply on the volume of fuel passing through their pumps, but on how successfully individual sites combine energy, retail, food and mobility services.

China’s Property Recovery Is Becoming a Test of Asset Quality

China’s commercial property investment market is recording more transactions, but the improvement in activity is revealing a widening difference between properties that investors still want to own and those that remain difficult to sell. During the second quarter of 2026, 109 commercial real estate investment transactions worth RMB 83.9 billion were completed across China, an increase of 39% from the previous quarter. First-half volume reached RMB 144.2 billion. These figures demonstrate that liquidity is returning to parts of the market, but they do not mean commercial property values have recovered uniformly. The distinction matters because transaction statistics naturally measure buildings that successfully find buyers. They reveal much less about properties marketed unsuccessfully, assets withdrawn from sale, buildings undergoing restructuring or situations where owners and prospective purchasers remain too far apart on price. As China’s property correction progresses, understanding the assets that do not trade may become just as important as analysing those that do.

Beijing and Shanghai provide some of the clearest evidence. Investment activity strengthened in both cities during the first half of 2026, with approximately RMB 25.7 billion transacted in Beijing and RMB 27.35 billion in Shanghai. Domestic capital has become particularly important, with corporations, insurers, Chinese investment managers and other local buyers helping support activity while international investors remain selective. In many cases, however, transactions are taking place only after sellers adjust expectations to reflect today’s rental conditions and investment risks. Recent disposals of foreign-owned commercial properties demonstrate the scale that repricing can sometimes reach. An examination of assets offered for sale in Beijing and Shanghai since 2024 found that a significant proportion had still not completed a disposal by August 2026. Among a small group of five Shanghai properties where previous acquisition values could be compared with subsequent sale prices, the later transactions were completed at prices averaging more than 40% below the earlier purchase values. The sample is too small to represent Shanghai commercial property generally, but it illustrates how substantial the adjustment can be for individual assets before a buyer emerges.

This is why rising transaction activity should not automatically be interpreted as recovering valuations. Liquidity can improve because sellers become more willing to accept the prices buyers are prepared to pay. In that situation, additional transactions represent the establishment of new market values rather than a return to those achieved during the previous property cycle. China’s office sector provides a strong example. Nationwide office vacancy remained around 25% during the second quarter, while rents declined another 2.2% from the previous quarter and approximately 4% over the first half of the year. Leasing activity has improved, but occupiers still have substantial choice, forcing landlords in many markets to compete through pricing, incentives and improvements to their buildings.

The result is increasing differentiation within the same asset class. Modern offices in strong locations with stable tenants and competitive specifications can continue to attract institutions, insurers and corporate purchasers. Older properties with weaker occupancy, significant refurbishment requirements or substantial competing supply can face much greater difficulty establishing an investment value acceptable to both buyer and seller. Shanghai demonstrates how this divergence can occur within a single city. Companies are using favourable leasing conditions to move into better-quality premises, supporting demand for stronger buildings even as the wider market remains under pressure. Well-occupied premium properties can therefore behave differently from ageing or poorly positioned offices only a few kilometres away. Both may officially belong to the same office market, but their prospects for income growth, capital expenditure and eventual resale can be very different.

The city’s business parks show an even sharper contrast. Shanghai recorded approximately 205,000 sq m of business-park net absorption during the second quarter, supported partly by demand from technology industries including artificial intelligence and integrated circuits. Yet vacancy remained around 31.7%, demonstrating that growth industries and substantial excess space can exist simultaneously. For property investors, this makes the quality of the underlying location increasingly important. A building does not become a strong technology investment simply because it sits inside a district marketed around innovation. Properties connected to established corporate clusters, transport networks, research institutions and functioning business ecosystems can have a considerable advantage over projects whose investment case depends primarily on their location within a development zone.

The same divide is visible in logistics. National warehouse net absorption reached approximately 2.73 million sq m during the second quarter, more than double the previous quarter, while vacancy declined to around 18.5%. Despite that improvement, rents fell another 2.5% quarter-on-quarter. Shanghai followed a similar pattern. Logistics absorption exceeded 240,000 sq m during the quarter and vacancy declined to approximately 23.2%, but rents still fell almost 3%. In some peripheral locations, lower rents helped attract occupiers that could take advantage of cheaper space. Leasing therefore improved without producing a corresponding recovery in pricing.

For investors, that distinction is critical. Strong absorption created by scarcity normally improves a landlord’s negotiating position and can eventually support rental growth. Absorption generated partly by substantial rental reductions can improve occupancy while leaving property income under pressure. The headline leasing figure may look similar, but the consequences for valuation are very different. Supply remains another dividing factor. Some Chinese logistics markets have experienced rapid warehouse development, leaving landlords competing aggressively for occupiers. Modern facilities close to major consumer markets, transport infrastructure and established distribution corridors can remain attractive investment products. Properties in heavily supplied peripheral locations may need increasingly competitive rents and acquisition prices to attract tenants and capital.

Retail property is developing its own version of the same divide. China’s national shopping-centre vacancy rate remained relatively contained at approximately 7.5% during the second quarter, although average rents continued to decline. Behind that national figure, retailers are becoming more selective about where they allocate capital. Leading destination centres can attract restaurants, sportswear companies, consumer technology, entertainment concepts and large-format stores capable of generating traffic. Less distinctive shopping centres face greater competition as brands concentrate their networks around locations capable of producing stronger sales and customer engagement. For investors, occupancy by itself may consequently reveal less about a shopping centre’s quality than it once did. Two properties can report similar occupancy while producing very different economic results if one achieves sustainable rents from productive tenants and the other relies heavily on discounts, incentives or short-term leasing to maintain occupied space.

Across offices, business parks, logistics and retail, China is therefore developing a hierarchy of commercial property quality. At the strongest end are assets with locations, tenants and income profiles capable of attracting institutional or strategic capital. These properties can continue trading even in a cautious investment environment. A second group consists of buildings that remain investible but require significant repricing. They may have sound locations or redevelopment potential, but buyers need acquisition prices that compensate for weaker rents, vacancy, future capital expenditure or uncertainty about resale values. The most difficult category consists of properties where the problem extends beyond price. Location, specification, oversupply or physical obsolescence may make restoring investment demand considerably more difficult even after substantial repricing. Some of these buildings will require refurbishment or repositioning before they can compete effectively. Others may ultimately need conversion to a different use or a new ownership and capital structure.

This distinction is turning China’s correction into an asset-management challenge. A lower acquisition price can transform a fundamentally good building into an attractive investment. It cannot automatically repair a property that no longer meets occupier requirements or sits in a market with persistent excess supply. That creates difficult decisions for existing owners. Selling at today’s price can crystallise a substantial loss, but holding an uncompetitive property may require additional capital while rents remain under pressure. Refurbishment can improve an asset’s position, but only where the underlying location and demand justify the expenditure.

Domestic buyers are helping the market work through this adjustment. Chinese corporations purchasing premises for their own occupation, insurers seeking longer-duration investments and domestic funds acquiring repriced properties are providing alternative sources of liquidity as some international investors reduce exposure or become more selective. Their activity is also producing something China’s commercial property market needs: transaction evidence at current prices. Every completed sale helps buyers, lenders, valuers and owners understand where the market is clearing. That process can be uncomfortable because new transactions may reveal values significantly below those assumed several years earlier. Nevertheless, functioning price discovery is an important stage in the recovery of any investment market.

The properties that remain unsold could eventually become more revealing. If high-quality assets increasingly trade while weaker buildings remain on owners’ balance sheets, the difference between liquid and illiquid property could widen. That would also matter for refinancing, because lenders have much clearer valuation evidence for buildings supported by recent comparable transactions than for properties rarely bought or sold. The same process could influence future development. If investors increasingly reward existing buildings with demonstrated occupier demand while heavily discounting speculative properties in oversupplied locations, developers may become more cautious about adding additional supply. Capital could instead move toward refurbishment, repositioning and conversion of existing stock.

China’s commercial property market is therefore moving beyond the simple question of whether a recovery has begun. The more important question is which properties are participating in it. RMB 83.9 billion of transactions during the second quarter demonstrates that capital is available when buyers see sufficient value. It does not demonstrate that every office, warehouse, business park or shopping centre has regained liquidity. Instead, the correction is exposing differences that were easier to overlook when capital values were rising. Strong assets can still attract competition. Properties with recoverable problems can trade after repricing. Buildings facing deeper structural disadvantages may require substantially more than a lower asking price.

This could become one of the defining characteristics of China’s next commercial property cycle. Rather than a broad recovery lifting most assets together, capital may increasingly concentrate around buildings capable of demonstrating durable demand, competitive specifications and credible long-term income. China’s commercial property market is becoming more active again, but the real measure of recovery will not simply be how many buildings are sold. It will be how much of the country’s existing property stock investors are still prepared to regard as investible.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

Croatia’s Rising Home Prices Are Hiding a Dramatic Fall in Sales

Croatia entered 2026 with a residential market sending two very different signals. The homes that are changing hands continue to command substantially higher prices, yet the number of purchases being completed has fallen dramatically. That divergence raises questions about affordability, the composition of the remaining buyer pool and how sustainable the current pricing environment will prove to be.

Residential prices across Croatia were 14.3 percent higher in the first quarter of 2026 than a year earlier. Zagreb recorded annual growth of 14.7 percent, the Adriatic region increased by 12.6 percent and the rest of the country registered the strongest rise at 18.1 percent. The volume of purchases by households moved sharply in the opposite direction. The number of transactions was 42.2 percent lower than during the same period of 2025. Purchases of newly built homes declined 50.9 percent, while transactions involving existing properties fell 37.4 percent. The overall value of these purchases decreased 35.4 percent.

The contrast is particularly striking because the fall in activity has not yet translated into lower recorded prices. Existing homes increased in value by 16.1 percent year-on-year, while newly constructed properties were 9.7 percent more expensive. This does not necessarily mean that Croatian housing has become immune to weaker demand. Instead, it suggests that price movements and transaction activity need to be considered together.

A price index is based on properties that actually sell. It does not capture every owner who decides not to sell, every potential purchaser who cannot obtain financing or every negotiation that fails because buyer and seller cannot agree on value. When transaction numbers contract sharply, the completed deals represent a smaller portion of the potential market. That makes the identity and financial position of the remaining buyers increasingly important.

A household purchasing primarily with savings or existing property equity faces different constraints from a first-time buyer dependent on a large mortgage. Similarly, Croatians earning income abroad, international purchasers and buyers acquiring second homes may evaluate residential prices differently from households relying principally on domestic salaries. The national statistics do not establish which of these groups is supporting current pricing. Determining that would require more detailed evidence about individual purchasers, but the scale of the decline in transactions makes buyer composition an increasingly important subject for Croatia’s residential market.

Affordability is likely to remain central to the discussion. When property values increase by more than 14 percent within twelve months, buyers must provide larger deposits and finance larger purchases. Unless household purchasing power keeps pace, some potential buyers will inevitably find it more difficult to enter the market.

Zagreb deserves particular attention because housing there is closely connected with employment and permanent residential demand. People moving to the capital for work, young households leaving family homes and existing residents seeking larger accommodation still require somewhere to live even when purchasing becomes difficult.

The coastal market operates differently. Residential property along the Adriatic can attract local residents, second-home owners, investors and overseas purchasers. Tourism can also influence the economics of ownership because some properties have the potential to generate short-term accommodation income. This means that Croatia does not have a single residential demand story. The factors supporting an apartment in Zagreb can differ considerably from those influencing a property in Split, Dubrovnik or another coastal destination.

Perhaps the most notable geographical figure is the 18.1 percent annual increase recorded outside Zagreb and the Adriatic region. It indicates that rapid price appreciation has spread well beyond the country’s most internationally visible housing markets.

The new-build sector presents another important challenge. Purchases of newer homes by households fell by approximately half compared with a year earlier, even though their prices remained higher. Developers faced with slower sales have several possible responses. Some may adjust prices or incentives, others may delay new phases, while projects serving purchasers with greater financial resources may be able to maintain existing pricing for longer. The eventual response will depend on development costs, financing, location and the type of customer each project is targeting.

Existing homeowners have different choices. Owners who need to sell may eventually have to respond to weaker demand. Those without immediate financial pressure can potentially wait longer for an acceptable buyer. Whether this behaviour is materially contributing to Croatia’s current price pattern cannot be established from the transaction statistics alone. It nevertheless provides one possible explanation for how a market can experience falling turnover without an immediate reduction in recorded values.

The longer-term consequence could extend beyond the ownership market. If purchasing remains increasingly difficult for households, more people may need to rent for longer periods. That would gradually increase the importance of Croatia’s rental sector, particularly in cities with strong employment, education and population mobility.

For institutional property investors, Zagreb is therefore worth watching. Croatia has not historically developed a large professionally managed rental-housing sector comparable with some Western and Central European markets. Home ownership remains deeply established, while individual landlords account for much of the available rental stock. But residential investment markets can change when the economics of ownership change.

A larger population of long-term renters could eventually provide a demand base for professionally managed apartment buildings. Such projects could offer longer leases, consistent management and purpose-designed rental accommodation rather than relying primarily on individually owned apartments entering the rental market.

There is an important limitation, however. A housing affordability problem does not automatically produce a viable build-to-rent market. Institutional investors must be able to achieve rents that cover land acquisition, construction, financing, management and investment returns. If the rents required to make a project financially viable are substantially above what local households can afford, strong rental demand alone will not solve the investment equation.

Zagreb probably offers the clearest environment in which that equation could eventually be tested because it combines scale, employment and year-round residential demand. Rijeka could provide a smaller opportunity. Split presents a different challenge because conventional rental housing competes with tourism-related uses for residential property. In locations where short-term accommodation can generate attractive income, securing sufficient housing for long-term residents becomes more complicated.

For now, Croatia’s first-quarter figures should not be interpreted as proof that the country’s residential market is undergoing a permanent structural transformation. One quarter of transaction data cannot establish that conclusion. What the numbers do reveal is a widening gap between the price of housing and the number of households completing purchases.

If transactions recover while price growth moderates, that divergence may prove temporary. If sales remain depressed while values continue rising, Croatia will face a more fundamental question about who its ownership market is actually serving. That question could eventually become important for commercial property investors as well.

The greatest residential investment opportunity in Croatia may ultimately emerge not from the households still able to purchase increasingly expensive apartments, but from the growing number that need good-quality housing while finding ownership progressively harder to reach.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

AI Is Turning Contracts Into Active Business Intelligence

Artificial intelligence is beginning to transform contracts from documents that are signed and stored into active sources of business intelligence. For decades, the digitalisation of agreements concentrated primarily on making them easier to create, send and sign. The next phase is increasingly focused on what happens before and after the signature, with AI being used to interpret contractual language, identify obligations, compare terms, monitor renewals and support decisions throughout the life of an agreement.

That transition was at the centre of a discussion at AI4 2026 with Docusign Vice President of AI Tabriz Mohammed. Docusign is moving beyond the electronic-signature business for which it became widely known and towards intelligent agreement management, where AI can help organisations understand what their contracts contain and act on that information.

The opportunity is significant because contracts contain some of the most commercially important information within a business. Pricing, commitments, renewal dates, service requirements, termination conditions, liabilities and other obligations are frequently contained within agreements that become difficult to analyse once they have been signed. Large organisations can hold thousands of supplier, customer, employment, financing and property-related contracts while still depending on employees to open individual documents to determine what they contain.

AI could change this by converting contractual language into information that can be searched, compared and connected with other business systems. Instead of becoming dormant after signature, an agreement could remain part of an active information system throughout its commercial life.

A supplier contract provides a straightforward example. A company may need to know when an agreement renews, whether particular service commitments have been fulfilled, whether the agreed pricing remains competitive and whether the supplier’s performance justifies extending the relationship. Answering those questions traditionally requires employees to combine information from the contract with procurement systems, emails and operational records.

An AI-based agreement platform could increasingly perform much of that preparatory work. As a renewal approaches, it could identify the relevant contractual provisions, connect them with information about the commercial relationship and prepare an assessment for the person responsible for renegotiating the agreement. Contract management consequently starts moving towards continuous commercial monitoring rather than periodic document review.

The same approach can be applied before contracts are signed. A company considering a new agreement may want to understand how its clauses compare with previous contracts, whether particular provisions create additional risk or whether the proposed terms depart from established company policies. AI makes it possible to perform these comparisons across much larger collections of documents than could realistically be reviewed manually.

The objective is therefore becoming much more sophisticated than simply summarising a lengthy contract. An AI system could potentially compare a new document with hundreds or thousands of agreements already held by the organisation and identify differences that deserve attention. This gives individual clauses a broader commercial context.

That context is important because contractual language cannot always be interpreted in isolation. The significance of a provision depends on the company signing the agreement, its previous negotiations, existing obligations and the commercial relationship involved. A general-purpose AI model may understand the language of a contract without automatically understanding those organisational circumstances.

This is where specialised enterprise AI platforms could develop an advantage. Many companies can access similar foundation models, but competitive differentiation increasingly comes from the proprietary information connected to those models, the quality of the underlying workflows and the reliability with which AI can operate on the data.

For Docusign, its position within agreement workflows provides access to a particularly valuable domain. It also creates substantial responsibilities because contracts are among the most sensitive documents held by companies. They can contain confidential pricing, customer information, employment details, strategic commitments and commercially sensitive legal provisions.

Data protection therefore becomes central to the development of agreement intelligence. During the AI4 discussion, Mohammed described a multi-layer process for removing identifying information from contracts while retaining enough of their structure to make the resulting information useful for model development. The challenge is to protect sensitive information without eliminating the context that gives the data its value.

Accuracy is equally important. Legal and commercial agreements are particularly unforgiving environments for generative AI. An inaccurate consumer recommendation may be inconvenient. An AI system that invents a contractual provision, overlooks an obligation or incorrectly interprets a termination clause can create significant financial or legal consequences.

Docusign’s approach consequently combines large language models with other machine-learning and information-extraction techniques rather than treating every contract as an unrestricted generative AI problem. Information can be extracted and checked before being used by a model for broader analysis.

The company is also placing emphasis on citations and verification. This could become particularly important as AI agents begin performing more complex work. Producing an answer is relatively easy; allowing the user to understand how the system reached that answer is considerably harder.

If an AI agent analyses hundreds of pages of agreements and recommends whether a contract should be renewed, an employee may need to see which documents were examined, what information was extracted and which contractual provisions support the recommendation. Enterprise AI therefore increasingly requires something resembling an audit trail.

This may become one of the fundamental differences between consumer and enterprise AI. Consumers can sometimes tolerate probabilistic answers because the consequences of occasional mistakes are limited. Businesses frequently need conclusions that can be reviewed, challenged and defended, particularly when financial or legal obligations are involved.

The requirement becomes even more important as AI moves from providing information towards taking action. Docusign has deliberately constrained the authority available to its agents during the early development of its platform. Higher-risk actions continue to require human involvement rather than allowing agents unrestricted authority over customer environments.

The principle is that an AI agent should generally operate within the permissions available to the user directing it. This limits the potential consequences if the agent makes an error or is manipulated. Instead of giving the AI broad system-level authority, its ability to access information and perform actions can be restricted to what the relevant employee would ordinarily be permitted to do.

Agentic AI therefore introduces a new dimension to enterprise security. Traditional cybersecurity controls what users and applications can access. AI agents add another problem because software can independently decide which actions to take within those permissions.

Companies consequently need to manage both access and autonomy. An agent could be permitted to read a contract without being able to change it. It could prepare a renewal recommendation while requiring human approval before initiating negotiations. It could draft an agreement without having permission to send or sign it.

These distinctions will become increasingly important as AI progresses from interactive assistants towards semi-autonomous systems. Docusign is already seeing customers move beyond simple conversational interactions towards workflows in which agents can be activated by events occurring elsewhere within the organisation.

The progression towards autonomy is likely to be gradual. AI may initially help employees understand an agreement, then prepare a proposed action and eventually execute selected parts of a workflow with approval. Some lower-risk activities could ultimately operate with limited human involvement, while consequential contractual decisions are likely to retain human oversight for considerably longer.

Another important lesson from Docusign’s development process concerns the technology architecture behind agent platforms. Mohammed explained that the company initially used existing agent frameworks and foundation models rather than attempting to build every component internally. Components could then be modified or replaced when problems involving accuracy, information loss or cost became apparent.

This modular approach is increasingly important because AI technology is evolving exceptionally quickly. A model or framework selected today may no longer be the best choice several months later. Companies that build their systems around interchangeable components may therefore have greater flexibility than organisations that become dependent on a single model or provider.

Model selection also has significant financial consequences. Using the largest and most powerful model for every task can make an AI platform unnecessarily expensive. Complex reasoning may require a sophisticated model, while simpler extraction or classification tasks can potentially be handled by smaller and cheaper systems.

Docusign therefore uses different models depending on the work being performed. This reflects a wider change taking place across enterprise AI, where optimisation increasingly means matching the cost and capability of a model to the specific task rather than automatically using the most powerful system available.

The economics are particularly important for agentic applications because their costs can behave differently from conventional software. Traditional software expenses are relatively predictable through licences, infrastructure and employee costs. An AI agent can generate variable expenses according to how frequently it operates, how many model calls it makes, how much information it processes and how long individual tasks continue.

A highly successful AI product could therefore become unexpectedly expensive if usage expands faster than its underlying architecture can economically support. Monitoring the cost of individual AI actions becomes part of product engineering rather than simply a financial exercise.

Docusign says it analyses model consumption at both the individual tool level and across complete user sessions. The company is also using prompt optimisation and different model sizes to reduce inference expenses. The precise savings discussed during the AI4 presentation are company-reported results, but the broader principle is increasingly relevant across the industry.

AI economics are becoming part of product design. Companies building agent platforms need to determine not only whether an application works but whether it can operate reliably and profitably at scale.

This could create substantial differences between enterprise AI providers. Two products may appear almost identical to users while having very different economics underneath because one platform requires significantly more model processing to deliver the same result.

Companies with large proprietary datasets and clearly defined specialist applications may have an advantage. Domain knowledge can allow smaller or more specialised systems to perform tasks that might otherwise require expensive general-purpose models. Specialisation therefore has the potential to improve both accuracy and economics.

The larger opportunity surrounding agreement intelligence is relatively straightforward. Contracts can effectively be viewed as databases written in prose. They contain enormous quantities of operational information, but historically that information has required people to interpret it manually.

Once AI can reliably convert contractual language into usable information, agreements can begin interacting directly with the rest of an enterprise. A renewal date can trigger a workflow. A pricing provision can feed financial planning. A supplier obligation can be compared with operational performance. A termination clause can generate an alert. A proposed agreement can be automatically compared with established corporate standards.

Contract management then stops being primarily a document-storage problem and starts becoming part of the company’s operational infrastructure.

The implications extend well beyond Docusign and the legal profession. Commercial property businesses, for example, operate through large volumes of leases, construction contracts, financing agreements, facility-management contracts, acquisition documents and supplier agreements. Large property portfolios can contain thousands of contractual obligations distributed across different assets, systems and jurisdictions.

Continuous AI analysis could eventually change how investors and asset managers monitor lease expiries, break options, rent indexation, service obligations, contractual deadlines and counterparty risks. Instead of employees periodically searching individual agreements, information could increasingly be surfaced automatically when it becomes commercially relevant.

Similar opportunities exist across procurement, banking, insurance, employment and supply chains. In each case, the challenge is no longer simply teaching AI to read documents. It is creating systems that understand information within organisational context, connect it with other enterprise data, operate within clearly defined permissions and provide evidence supporting their recommendations.

The combination of intelligence, governance and auditability will ultimately determine how much autonomy businesses are prepared to give AI agents. The most successful enterprise agents may therefore not be systems given unrestricted authority to run corporate processes. They are more likely to be carefully constrained digital workers that understand organisational context, operate within defined boundaries and can demonstrate why they reached a particular conclusion.

Contracts provide an unusually demanding environment in which to develop this model because they are complex, sensitive and financially consequential. If agentic AI can operate reliably within agreement management, many of the same principles could eventually spread across other parts of enterprise software.

The result could fundamentally change the role of business documents. Instead of simply recording decisions after they have been made, contracts could become active sources of information influencing decisions throughout their entire lifecycle.

For Docusign, this represents a much larger opportunity than electronic signatures alone. For the broader enterprise technology market, it offers an early indication of how AI agents could transform static corporate information into continuously usable business infrastructure.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

MitziLinka: Houston, We Have a Coffee Machine Problem

There are moments in aviation when you realise that mankind may have slightly overestimated itself. We have aircraft capable of crossing the Atlantic at nearly 40,000 feet. We can navigate through darkness, cloud and weather with extraordinary precision. A modern Boeing 787 Dreamliner contains computing power that would once have required a respectable government building to accommodate. And yet an airport lounge can apparently be defeated by a coffee machine.

This was the situation before a recent red-eye flight, when the opening of the lounge was delayed because the coffee machine would not start. Now, I am enormously fond of coffee. I would even accept that there are mornings when I should not be allowed to communicate with another human being until coffee has been administered. But I had never previously understood that an espresso machine formed part of an airport’s critical infrastructure.

Apparently it does.

The doors remained closed. Somewhere behind them, I imagined a management team standing around the machine like surgeons around a particularly difficult patient.

“Have we switched it off and on again?”

“Twice.”

“Dear Powers to Be”

“Should we open the lounge?”

“Without cappuccino?”

Silence.

There are limits.

The peculiar thing about crisis management is that the crisis is rarely the problem itself. Things break. Aircraft develop technical faults. Weather happens. Computers fail. Coffee machines occasionally decide that producing coffee is beneath them. The test is what happens next.

If your published opening time says the lounge opens at a particular hour, then, within reason, you open it. You explain that the coffee machine is temporarily unavailable. You apologise. You provide whatever else is available. Perhaps you even deploy that most sophisticated piece of customer-service technology yet invented: a kettle.

Instead, passengers were left outside while management apparently wrestled with the existential question of whether civilisation could continue without a functioning latte.

Then there is airline communication. Airlines now possess an astonishing number of ways to tell you what is happening. There are apps, emails, text messages, push notifications, departure boards, gate screens, announcements and, occasionally, an actual human being.

The difficulty is getting any two of them to agree.

Your phone may confidently tell you one thing while the airport screen says another. The email has a third theory. Eventually you walk 15 minutes to the gate, where the electronic board offers the definitive operational instruction: “Take a seat.”

Thank you. That certainly clears things up.

I have experienced this particular communication philosophy before at Warsaw Airport. On that occasion, asking questions at the gate eventually produced one of the more theatrical escalations in my flying career. Armed security appeared. Not a customer-service supervisor. Not an airline manager. Security. With automatic weapons, tactical clothing and balaclavas, standing behind the gate staff.

It was an impressive response to what had begun as passengers wanting to know what was happening with their flight. You start with, “Excuse me, is there an update?” and somehow arrive at a scene suggesting somebody has attempted to overthrow the terminal.

British passengers are particularly poorly equipped for this sort of escalation because our traditional weapon in a disagreement is mild sarcasm. “Well, this is all going terribly well.” Against a man holding an automatic weapon, however, sarcasm suddenly feels underpowered.

The wider problem becomes much more serious when disruption hits a major hub. Heathrow’s experience following the fire and power failure at an electricity substation in Hayes demonstrated just how quickly problems outside an airport can cascade through aviation. Flights can resume, but that does not mean the disruption has disappeared. Aircraft are in the wrong places. Crews are displaced. Passengers miss connections. Some must rebook, while others suddenly discover the remarkable price of buying an airline ticket when they absolutely need one.

And then comes the aircraft change. Your original aircraft disappears from the plan and is replaced by a Dreamliner. Wonderful, you think. A Dreamliner. Very glamorous.

Except the seating allocation may remain largely as it was while the physical aircraft is completely different. A Boeing 787 is designed for long-haul flying, with a cabin configuration that may bear only a passing resemblance to whatever aircraft was originally scheduled.

You therefore enter the fascinating world of airline seat mathematics. Your seat number still exists. Your expectations still exist. The relationship between the two is considerably less certain.

None of this is really about coffee machines, gate screens or even Dreamliners. It is about something much simpler. When travel goes wrong, passengers can cope remarkably well with bad news. What they struggle with is no news. Or contradictory news. Or an app telling them to proceed to a gate where a screen tells them to sit down while an email confidently informs them of something else entirely.

Airports and airlines spend billions on aircraft, terminals, lounges, software, biometric systems and increasingly sophisticated passenger technology. Yet sometimes the most valuable thing they could provide is one person who knows what is happening and is prepared to say it.

And perhaps somebody who knows where the kettle is.

Because if your entire premium lounge operation collapses when the coffee machine refuses to cooperate, you do not have a coffee problem.

You have a management problem.

Author: Mitzilinka (Turning grim reality into comic relief—without losing the truth)

DCC Energy Targets Quanta Energy as Commercial Property Power Market Consolidates

DCC Energy Holdings has applied for regulatory approval to acquire control of Polish renewable energy company Quanta Energy, in a transaction that could strengthen DCC’s position in the growing market for energy infrastructure serving industrial, logistics and retail properties.

The application was submitted to Poland’s Office of Competition and Consumer Protection on 4 September and remains under review. The filing concerns DCC Energy Holdings Limited, a Dublin-based company within the DCC Energy group, and Quanta Energy, currently part of R.Power Group.

Quanta Energy develops and operates renewable power systems for commercial and industrial customers. Its activities include photovoltaic installations on buildings and neighbouring land, with logistics facilities, manufacturing sites and retail properties among the markets it serves. The company also provides financing, construction, maintenance and other services associated with renewable energy projects.

The proposed acquisition therefore has a direct connection with commercial real estate. As electricity costs, grid availability and decarbonisation requirements become increasingly important to occupiers, energy infrastructure is becoming a more significant component of the specification and operating economics of warehouses, factories and other large commercial properties.

For DCC Energy, Quanta would fit a wider strategy of expanding its energy activities through acquisitions. The group has been building its position in energy services for commercial and industrial customers, making Quanta’s combination of renewable generation and services complementary to that strategy.

For Poland’s property sector, the proposed deal is another indication that energy systems connected with commercial buildings are developing into an increasingly important investment category. Rooftop solar, battery storage and on-site generation can reduce exposure to external electricity supplies while giving occupiers and property owners greater control over energy costs and emissions.

The trend is particularly relevant for logistics and industrial real estate, where large roofs and substantial electricity consumption create opportunities for on-site generation. At the same time, increasing power requirements from automation, cooling systems, electric vehicle charging and manufacturing are making electricity capacity a more important consideration in property development and site selection.

DCC’s proposed purchase of Quanta could consequently be viewed as more than another renewable-energy acquisition. It would increase the group’s exposure to infrastructure operating directly alongside commercial property and industrial facilities, at a time when energy availability is becoming increasingly connected with the value and functionality of real estate.

The acquisition has not yet been completed. DCC has applied for permission to take control of Quanta Energy, and the Polish competition authority’s review remains in progress.

Polish Property Market Faces Longer Wait for Cheaper Financing as NBP Holds Rates

Poland’s real estate market will have to wait longer for another reduction in financing costs after the Monetary Policy Council left interest rates unchanged at its September meeting. The National Bank of Poland’s reference rate remains at 3.75%, maintaining the level in place since March.

The decision was widely expected, but its importance for property extends beyond the benchmark rate itself. After a substantial easing cycle that reduced the reference rate by a combined 200 basis points over the preceding 14 months, the pause raises the question of how quickly further monetary easing can proceed and when lower rates will translate into meaningfully cheaper financing for developers, investors and homebuyers.

Inflation has complicated that outlook. Annual consumer price growth accelerated to 3.4% in August, bringing it close to the upper boundary of the NBP’s inflation target range. Higher energy and commodity costs, geopolitical uncertainty, wage developments and fiscal policy are among the factors that could keep price pressures elevated. The central bank said future decisions would depend on incoming inflation and economic growth data, as well as developments in Poland’s external environment.

For commercial real estate, keeping the reference rate at 3.75% means that the improvement in debt costs seen during the previous easing cycle is unlikely to receive another immediate boost. Financing conditions are only one component of property pricing, but the cost of borrowing directly affects acquisition returns, refinancing calculations and the amount investors can pay while maintaining their target returns.

Developers face a similar calculation. Lower interest rates can reduce the cost of carrying land and financing construction, potentially improving the feasibility of projects that became difficult to justify when borrowing costs were considerably higher. A longer period without additional cuts may therefore encourage developers to remain selective about new schemes, particularly where construction costs, land prices or expected rents leave limited room for higher financing expenses.

The residential market is more directly exposed to monetary policy through mortgage affordability. The previous decline in Polish interest rates improved the financing environment for households, but a further increase in borrowing capacity now depends partly on whether monetary easing can resume. For residential developers, that makes the future direction of rates important not only for their own project financing but also for the purchasing power of potential buyers.

Investment markets face a more complex relationship. Further reductions in interest rates could eventually support transaction activity and put downward pressure on property yields, particularly if debt becomes cheaper and more investors return to leveraged acquisitions. However, lower benchmark rates alone would not guarantee yield compression. Rental growth, vacancy, financing margins, asset quality and investor perceptions of risk will continue to determine pricing.

The September decision therefore leaves Poland’s property market in an intermediate position. Financing conditions are substantially more favourable than before the easing cycle began, but the prospect of another rapid reduction in borrowing costs has become less certain as inflation risks increase.

For property investors and developers, the question is increasingly shifting from whether Polish interest rates will eventually move again to how long the current pause will last and whether the next move will actually be lower. Until that becomes clearer, investment and development decisions are likely to continue being based on today’s financing costs rather than expectations of significantly cheaper capital arriving quickly.

Żabka Unlocks €110 Million From Logistics Assets in Major Leaseback Deal

Żabka Group is preparing to sell two large logistics centres in Poland for an estimated €110 million net, while continuing to use both properties under long-term leases. The transaction will allow the retailer to release capital currently tied up in logistics real estate without removing the facilities from its distribution network.

Subsidiaries Żabka BS and Kalestico Investments have signed a preliminary agreement with Unicorn (PL), part of LCN Capital Partners, covering logistics properties in Rzgów near Łódź and Kąty Wrocławskie. The agreement was signed on 8 September, with the two property transactions expected to complete separately once the relevant conditions have been satisfied.

The Rzgów logistics centre provides approximately 42,000 sqm of lettable space, while the Kąty Wrocławskie property comprises around 35,000 sqm, with the possibility of adding a further 6,500 sqm. The two existing facilities therefore provide approximately 77,000 sqm of logistics space.

The estimated combined value of the transaction is approximately €110 million net. Żabka indicated that the values assigned to the two properties are broadly comparable, although the final consideration will be calculated according to the provisions of the preliminary agreement and could change before completion.

Following completion of each sale, Żabka Polska is expected to lease the respective logistics centre for at least 15 years. The facilities will consequently remain part of Żabka’s distribution infrastructure despite the change in property ownership.

The structure demonstrates how large occupiers can release capital from operational property while maintaining long-term control over the space required for their businesses. Żabka’s approach involves developing logistics facilities, subsequently transferring ownership to investors and remaining in occupation through long-term rental agreements. Proceeds from the planned transaction are expected to support the group’s existing activities and further expansion.

For Poland’s logistics investment market, the deal is significant because it combines modern distribution properties with a long-term commitment from a major retail occupier. Assets secured by lengthy leases can provide investors with predictable income, while allowing corporate occupiers to redirect capital previously committed to property ownership towards their core operations and growth.

The planned transaction also illustrates the increasingly close relationship between corporate financing strategies and logistics real estate investment. Żabka is not reducing its distribution capacity by selling the properties. Instead, it is changing the ownership and financing structure behind two important elements of its logistics network while retaining their operational use.

The transaction has not yet been completed. The parties have signed a preliminary sale agreement, and ownership of the two logistics centres will transfer only after the respective conditions for closing have been fulfilled.

AI’s Productivity Paradox: Faster Workers Are Not Yet Creating Faster Companies

Artificial intelligence is rapidly changing software development, but one of the industry’s most important questions remains surprisingly difficult to answer: is it actually making companies more productive? Developers increasingly use AI assistants to generate code, troubleshoot problems, write tests and accelerate routine engineering work. The experience can feel dramatically faster, yet improvements at the level of an individual programmer do not automatically translate into faster product launches, lower technology costs or better business performance.

That gap was the central argument of a presentation by TechBlocks at AI4 2026, where the technology services company challenged the way enterprises are measuring returns from AI-assisted software development. Its contention is that organisations risk repeating an error seen during previous technology transitions: adopting new tools while leaving the operating model surrounding them largely unchanged. The comparison with cloud computing is instructive. Many early cloud programmes moved existing applications and infrastructure onto external platforms without fundamentally redesigning how those systems operated. The lesson is not that cloud computing failed, but that simply moving an existing system onto a new technology does not necessarily capture the economic value of that technology.

AI may now be creating a similar problem in software engineering. Companies are buying coding assistants, testing tools, security platforms, AI agents, governance systems and analytics products. Each can improve a particular part of the development process, but optimising individual tasks is different from improving the performance of the entire software organisation. Coding represents only one part of software delivery. Engineers also spend considerable time understanding requirements, reviewing existing systems, designing architecture, testing, fixing defects, coordinating releases, dealing with security issues and maintaining software after deployment. Generating code faster can therefore create impressive local productivity gains while leaving many of the surrounding bottlenecks unchanged.

It can even create new ones. Research involving experienced software developers working on repositories they already knew well demonstrated how significant the perception gap can become. Before undertaking the work, developers expected AI to reduce completion time considerably. After using the tools, they still believed they had worked faster. The measured result, however, showed that they actually took longer to complete the assigned tasks. The experiment should not be interpreted as proof that AI coding tools generally reduce productivity, particularly as models continue to improve rapidly. The more important finding is that people can feel substantially more productive while objective measures tell a different story.

Generating code rapidly feels like progress, but time can subsequently be spent checking suggestions, correcting errors or understanding machine-generated changes. That perception gap represents a major management problem because companies have traditionally measured technology teams through activity indicators such as tickets closed, code commits, development hours and releases. AI can increase many of these numbers almost automatically, but more activity is not necessarily more value.

A development team could produce substantially more code while releasing products at the same speed. It could complete more tickets while introducing additional technical debt. It could increase the number of software changes while producing no measurable improvement in revenue, customer experience or operating costs. Recent industry research has pointed towards the same problem. Adoption of AI development tools has increased sharply across hundreds of companies, yet median improvements in software delivery have remained well below some of the dramatic productivity claims associated with generative AI.

The disparity does not necessarily mean the tools have little value. It suggests that the economic benefits may not materialise simply because companies distribute AI licences to developers. The real productivity unit is the software delivery system rather than the individual programmer. Instead of asking how many employees use AI, management needs to ask whether software reaches customers more quickly, defects are declining, engineering costs are improving and technology projects are producing better commercial outcomes.

Those questions also expose weaknesses in traditional technology outsourcing. For decades, much external software development has been sold through time-and-materials contracts. Customers effectively purchase engineering capacity, whether measured in people, hours or development teams. AI potentially disrupts that arrangement. If a software supplier can use AI to complete work much faster while continuing to charge for the same number of development hours, most of the productivity gain remains with the supplier rather than the customer.

The incentives become even more complicated when clients themselves pay for AI licences, cloud resources and model usage while still purchasing essentially the same labour-based delivery model. This creates a fundamental question for technology procurement: if AI genuinely increases productivity, who receives the economic benefit?

TechBlocks argues that software contracts will increasingly need to move from paying for effort towards paying for results. Traditional development contracts allocate much of the delivery risk to the customer. If projects require more work, encounter unexpected complexity or generate defects, the customer often pays for the additional engineering time required to resolve them. An outcome-based model shifts some of that risk back towards the technology provider, making the supplier financially responsible not simply for providing developers but for delivering defined results.

TechBlocks is positioning its AI-native delivery approach around this idea, combining AI-assisted software development, measurement, governance and human engineering oversight rather than presenting the system as simply another coding assistant. The strategy reflects a broader evolution taking place across enterprise technology. AI tools initially entered organisations at the individual level, with employees adopting assistants capable of writing documents, producing code or analysing information. Companies are now discovering that enterprise-scale productivity requires another layer.

Different AI systems need access to appropriate organisational knowledge. Their actions require governance. Work performed by agents and humans needs to be coordinated. Outputs require validation. Costs need to be measured and responsibility for mistakes needs to remain clear. In software engineering this is particularly important because applications rarely exist in isolation. Large organisations may operate systems that have evolved for decades, with decisions made years earlier embedded in databases, integration patterns and business logic that may never have been fully documented.

An AI model reading the code can see what exists without necessarily knowing why it exists. This helps explain why AI can appear extraordinarily capable when creating a new application from scratch while struggling with established enterprise environments. A mature application contains institutional memory. A seemingly unnecessary piece of logic may exist because of a regulatory requirement. An unusual integration may support a major customer. A database structure may accommodate an earlier acquisition. A software dependency may have survived because replacing it would disrupt another system.

Developers who have worked with an application for years may understand these relationships intuitively. AI does not automatically possess that context. Companies will therefore need systems capable of connecting software agents with architectural documentation, historical decisions, business requirements, security rules and operational information. Without that context, AI can generate technically plausible changes that are commercially or operationally wrong.

Governance presents another challenge. As AI generates an increasing share of software, organisations need to determine which changes can be automated and which require human approval. Not every piece of code carries equal risk. An internal reporting tool may tolerate a high degree of autonomous development, while software governing payments, medical information, infrastructure or regulated transactions requires considerably more control.

The future development organisation will probably contain varying levels of AI autonomy. Agents may write code, generate tests, analyse failures and prepare releases, while humans increasingly concentrate on architecture, security, unusual problems and approval of high-risk changes. The objective is not to remove engineers from software development but to redesign how human and machine capabilities are combined.

Measurement becomes equally important. Software organisations possess enormous amounts of operational data, yet connecting engineering work to business value remains difficult. A company can measure lines of code, tickets, deployments and incidents relatively easily. Determining whether a particular software investment increased revenue, reduced operating costs or improved customer retention is much harder.

AI makes resolving this problem increasingly important because traditional activity measures can become misleading. If AI allows an engineer to generate twice as much code, lines of code become an even less useful productivity measure. If an agent can automatically create hundreds of pull requests, the number of pull requests ceases to reveal much about organisational effectiveness. Software management therefore needs to move towards measures such as time from requirement to production, defect rates, system reliability, cost per delivered capability and commercial impact.

This could eventually transform how corporate technology departments are managed. Engineering has historically been treated primarily as a cost centre in many organisations, with budgets often defined by headcount, contractor numbers and infrastructure costs. An outcome-oriented model would treat software more like an investment portfolio. Management would evaluate how much capital is being committed to a particular capability and what business value that capability ultimately generates.

AI could make such measurement easier because digital agents can generate detailed information throughout the development process. Every requirement, AI interaction, software change, test and deployment can theoretically be traced. The challenge is converting that enormous amount of activity data into useful economic information.

This is where TechBlocks sees the opportunity for an AI-native software factory. Its model combines execution of the work, intelligence surrounding the work and governance of the work. AI agents can assist with coding, testing and releases. Measurement systems can follow activity through the development lifecycle, while governance determines which systems and people can make particular decisions.

The commercial component may prove just as important. TechBlocks says its approach can connect payment more directly to engineering outcomes rather than development hours. Whether this model becomes widely adopted remains to be seen, but the underlying direction is significant because AI is weakening the historical relationship between labour hours and software output.

If one engineer equipped with AI can eventually accomplish substantially more than one engineer could previously, charging customers by the hour becomes increasingly disconnected from value. The same disruption is likely to spread beyond software development. Consultancies, law firms, accounting companies and other professional-services businesses face a similar problem because their economics have traditionally depended partly on the number of professional hours required to deliver an assignment.

AI can reduce those hours. Clients will therefore increasingly ask why productivity improvements generated by technology should accrue entirely to the service provider. Outcome-based pricing could become one response. The transition will not be simple because outcomes are harder to define than hours. Software projects frequently change during development, business requirements evolve, external dependencies interfere with delivery and clients themselves can create delays.

Providers accepting greater outcome risk will therefore require more precise contracts and considerably better measurement. AI may also provide some of the infrastructure needed to make those arrangements possible by creating detailed records of who performed work, which tools were used, when requirements changed and what happened after software entered production. That creates the possibility of much more transparent delivery economics.

The implications extend to chief financial officers and boards. Enterprise AI spending is increasingly moving beyond experimentation, and management teams will be expected to demonstrate what financial returns those investments generate. Licence adoption is unlikely to remain an acceptable measure, nor will employee surveys saying that people feel more productive. Companies will need objective evidence that AI is improving operating performance.

This is where the productivity paradox becomes important. AI can make individual tasks dramatically easier without materially changing company-level results if the surrounding organisation remains the same. A developer may write code faster while still waiting days for approval. A customer-service agent may produce responses instantly while underlying customer problems remain unresolved. An analyst may prepare reports more quickly while executives continue making decisions through the same slow governance process.

Productivity consequently depends as much on organisational redesign as on model capability. Companies that merely add AI to existing processes may capture incremental efficiencies. Those willing to redesign workflows around human and machine collaboration could capture much larger gains.

The difference echoes earlier waves of enterprise technology. The internet created far more value when businesses stopped treating websites as digital brochures and began building entirely new digital business models. Cloud computing created greater value when companies stopped thinking of it simply as outsourced infrastructure and redesigned applications around scalable architectures. AI could require an equivalent change.

The important question is therefore not simply how existing work can be completed more quickly. It is how work should be organised if intelligent machines are available from the beginning. For software development, that may mean smaller engineering teams coordinating specialised agents. Testing could become continuous, documentation could update automatically, and systems could detect operational problems and prepare potential repairs before an engineer intervenes.

Human roles would shift towards architecture, judgement, governance and complex problem-solving. Procurement could move from purchasing engineering hours towards purchasing software outcomes. Management could shift from counting developers towards measuring what combined human-and-AI teams actually deliver.

The organisations that gain the most from AI may therefore not be those purchasing the largest number of tools. They may be the companies that rebuild their operating models around them. That is the real productivity challenge now facing enterprise technology. AI has already demonstrated that it can make individual tasks faster. The harder task is proving that the company itself has become more productive.

Source: CIJ.World Research & Analysis Team

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