EU and Euro area budget deficits narrow in Q1 2025 to 2.9% of GDP

In the first quarter of 2025, the seasonally adjusted general government deficit stood at 2.9% of GDP in both the euro area (EA20) and the European Union, according to the latest data released by Eurostat. This marks a slight improvement from the previous quarter, when deficits reached 3.2% in the euro area and 3.3% in the EU.

In the euro area, total government revenue was 46.6% of GDP, down marginally from 46.7% in Q4 2024. Although revenue rose in absolute terms by approximately €11 billion, this was outpaced by nominal GDP growth. Total expenditure also declined as a share of GDP to 49.5%, compared to 49.9% in the prior quarter.

For the EU as a whole, revenue remained steady at 46.2% of GDP, with a quarterly increase of €21 billion in absolute terms. Meanwhile, expenditure declined to 49.1% of GDP, even though it rose by €5 billion in absolute terms.

National Variations

Among EU Member States, deficits varied significantly:
• Poland posted a deficit of -5.1% of GDP, an improvement from -7.6% in Q4 2024.
• France remained among the highest with a deficit of -5.6%.
• Belgium’s deficit widened to -5.5%, while Romania stood at -7.5%.
• Ireland recorded a notable surplus of 2.3%, following a volatile 2024.
• Greece registered a strong fiscal performance with a 4.2% surplus, continuing its recent trend of improvement.

The improvements in Q1 2025 reflect a continued normalization of public finances across much of the EU, following earlier periods of elevated deficits due to pandemic- and energy-related support measures.

While some Member States such as Greece, Cyprus, and Ireland have transitioned to budget surpluses, others—including Poland, Hungary, and Romania—remain under pressure to reduce their budget imbalances.

The figures are based on the European System of Accounts (ESA 2010) and follow the Excessive Deficit Procedure framework. All Q1 2025 figures are provisional and subject to revision. Final annual government finance statistics will be verified by Eurostat ahead of the October 2025 Excessive Deficit Procedure notification.

Government debt rises to 88.0% of GDP in the Euro area in Q1 2025

According to Eurostat data for the first quarter of 2025, the euro area’s general government gross debt stood at 88.0% of GDP, marking an increase from 87.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024. In the European Union as a whole, the ratio rose to 81.8%, up from 81.0% in the previous quarter.

Compared to the same period last year, the debt-to-GDP ratio increased slightly in both the euro area (from 87.8%) and the EU (from 81.2%).

Debt instruments continued to be dominated by debt securities, which accounted for 84.2% of total government debt in the euro area and 83.6% in the EU. Loans comprised 13.3% in the euro area and 13.9% in the EU, while currency and deposits made up the remainder.

Intergovernmental lending (IGL), largely related to financial assistance between EU countries, was recorded at 1.4% of GDP in the euro area and 1.2% in the EU.

Member State Overview

The highest government debt-to-GDP ratios were recorded in:
• Greece (152.5%)
• Italy (137.9%)
• France (114.1%)
• Belgium (106.8%)
• Spain (103.5%)

The lowest ratios were noted in:
• Bulgaria (23.9%)
• Estonia (24.1%)
• Luxembourg (26.1%)
• Denmark (29.9%)

From Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, debt ratios rose in 16 EU Member States, remained unchanged in Czechia, and declined in 10 countries. The largest quarterly increases were observed in Austria and Slovakia (both +3.5 pp), Slovenia (+2.9 pp), and Italy (+2.5 pp). The biggest decreases were in Ireland (-3.7 pp), Latvia (-1.2 pp), and Greece (-1.1 pp).

Year-on-year comparisons revealed a rise in the debt ratio in 13 Member States, with Poland (+6.1 pp), Finland (+5.1 pp), and Austria and Romania (both +4.1 pp) experiencing the most significant increases. Greece (-9.3 pp), Cyprus (-8.2 pp), and Ireland (-6.1 pp) saw the sharpest declines.

Poland’s government debt reached PLN 2.12 trillion in Q1 2025, representing 57.4% of GDP. This reflects a 2.2 percentage point increase over the previous quarter and a 6.1 pp rise compared to Q1 2024, the largest annual increase in the EU.

The debt figures are based on the Maastricht definition and follow the European System of Accounts (ESA 2010). They include the consolidated gross debt of the general government sector in the form of currency and deposits, debt securities, and loans, valued at nominal face value.

All Q1 2025 data are considered provisional and are subject to revision. The next comprehensive review of government debt levels will be included in the Excessive Deficit Procedure notification due in October 2025.

Specjał Capital Group expands logistics operations at MLP Poznań

The Specjał Capital Group has expanded its logistics operations at the MLP Poznań logistics centre by leasing an additional 6,400 sqm of warehouse space, including cold and freezer storage. The company also extended its existing lease, which includes more than 15,000 sqm of warehouse space and over 760 sqm of office space. With this expansion, Specjał now occupies more than 22,000 sqm at the site. The move also includes the relocation of its Śrem branch to the Poznań location. Newmark Polska advised the tenant during the leasing process.

The company stated that its growing footprint at MLP Poznań reinforces its logistics capacity in western Poland, particularly in the distribution of fresh and frozen goods. The flexibility of the landlord in accommodating refrigeration infrastructure requirements played a role in the decision.

Representatives from MLP Group highlighted that Specjał’s continued presence strengthens the park’s position as a strategic logistics hub, benefiting from proximity to the S11 expressway and the A2 motorway. The company also leases space at MLP Czeladź, positioning it among MLP Group’s significant clients in the food logistics segment.

Newmark Polska, which has supported Specjał in site selection and lease negotiations, noted the long-standing cooperation as a reflection of mutual trust and alignment with the group’s development strategy.

MLP Poznań is being developed under MLP Group’s “build & hold” model, which emphasizes long-term ownership and direct management of assets. Upon completion, the logistics park is expected to offer around 90,000 sqm of warehouse and production space.

The Evolving Workplace: How Hybrid Models and Well-Being Are Reshaping Office Design

In a detailed conversation with CIJ EUROPE, Christophe Weller, CEO and Founder of COS Romania, explored how client expectations for office fit-outs have shifted in 2025. With hybrid work now firmly established as the norm, office design has entered a new era, one defined by flexibility, employee well-being, technology integration, and a deepening focus on sustainability.

According to Weller, the hybrid workplace model has become the standard across industries. Companies are no longer experimenting with hybrid work—they are actively trying to define the right formula based on their operational needs. While some opt for full-time office presence, others are embracing a 50–70 percent hybrid ratio, calculated according to employee attendance patterns. The trend away from fully remote work is clear. Remote work may diminish, but hybrid, Weller says, “is here to stay.”

This new model has prompted companies to rethink how much office space they really need. Rather than building offices for their full headcount, they now tailor workstations to expected attendance. Yet this downsizing hasn’t led to major cost savings. In fact, Weller notes that the cost per square metre has increased, as companies invest more in quality environments that make the office a desirable destination.

The focus has shifted toward creating workplaces that employees enjoy using. As Weller explains, when people come to the office, they need to feel good, inspired, and supported. Many companies are responding by designing spaces that reflect elements of home—comfortable seating, informal lounges, welcoming cafeterias, and collaborative hubs that facilitate both planned and spontaneous interaction. These shifts are also influenced by the changing needs of younger generations, many of whom report feeling disconnected or unmotivated in traditional work environments.

Technology has played a transformative role in this new office landscape. The pandemic made virtual meetings routine, and the tools needed to support these interactions—screens, microphones, Bluetooth devices, and video conferencing systems—are now standard in fit-out projects. Offices today are designed to support hybrid meetings at every level, ensuring seamless communication between on-site and remote participants. Furniture manufacturers are even integrating technology directly into their products to enhance functionality and improve the hybrid meeting experience.

Sustainability has become another defining feature of the modern office. Weller points out that environmental responsibility is no longer a branding exercise; it is a real business and legal imperative. Companies are increasingly demanding carbon-neutral or even carbon-negative products, such as flooring made from recycled materials or reconditioned furniture. COS Romania has committed to this direction, working closely with suppliers who align with their sustainability objectives and improving their own certifications, including EcoVadis and ESG standards.

This focus on responsibility extends beyond the environment to employee health. Weller describes how mental well-being has taken center stage. Burnout and stress are serious concerns, and companies are investing in features like quiet rooms, relaxation areas, wellness programs, and recreational zones to support mental health in the workplace. This is especially evident in service centres and call centres, where high-density environments require both functional noise reduction and spaces for employees to decompress.

In terms of cost management, companies are adapting by reducing overall leased space while spending more on fit-out quality. Weller estimates that companies are now spending 15 to 20 percent more per square metre than before the pandemic, and sometimes even higher, due to advanced acoustic materials, privacy features, and upgraded technologies. Elements like sound-absorbing ceilings, privacy screens, and noise-dampening panels are becoming commonplace, aimed at creating a more comfortable and focused work environment.

Reflecting on these developments, Weller draws a parallel to the social movements of the 1970s. He believes we are living through a kind of modern-day workplace revolution, driven by a desire for freedom, balance, and personal well-being. Today’s workforce wants flexibility, purpose, and spaces that support their whole lives—not just their job performance. There is a noticeable shift away from the single-minded career focus of past decades toward a more holistic view of work and life.

Weller notes that this transformation brings both opportunity and uncertainty. Employers now face the challenge of motivating teams in an environment where traditional rules no longer apply. He describes how employers are trying to offer more freedom without losing productivity and cohesion. The pandemic, he says, forced people to reassess their priorities, and many have emerged with a stronger focus on family, health, and happiness. Offices must now support these values if they hope to attract and retain talent.

As offices continue to evolve, Weller believes they will serve not just as places of work, but as tools for human connection, creativity, and well-being. While technology and efficiency are accelerating, companies are also striving to preserve the human element, encouraging collaboration and physical presence in a world that often leans toward digital detachment.

Ultimately, Weller sees the role of the office as both practical and symbolic. It is a place where people come together, feel valued, and perform at their best. And while no one can predict the long-term impact of AI or further workplace revolutions, one thing is clear: the office of 2025 is more human, more thoughtful, and more responsive to the needs of its people than ever before.

© 2025 www.cijeurope.com

Poland’s population continues to decline: Latest figures as of 1 January 2025

The Central Statistical Office (GUS) has released updated data outlining Poland’s demographic profile as of 1 January 2025. The country’s population has declined to 37.58 million, continuing a downward trend observed in recent years. Meanwhile, the total area of Poland remains unchanged at 312,696 square kilometres.

The population is unevenly distributed across regions. Mazowieckie remains the most populous province, with 5.48 million residents, followed by Śląskie with 4.28 million. On the other end of the spectrum, Opolskie and Lubuskie recorded the smallest populations, with 947,000 and 982,000 inhabitants respectively. Population density was highest in Śląskie (360 persons per km²), Małopolskie (227), and Mazowieckie (151), while Warmińsko-Mazurskie recorded the lowest density at 58 persons per km².

Among counties, the largest urban populations were reported in Warsaw (1.794 million), Kraków (804,000), and Łódź (642,000). The least populated counties included Bieszczady (20,500) and Sejny (21,100).

In terms of administrative structure, more than half of Poland’s population resides in urban and urban-rural municipalities, while about 40% live in rural areas. Warsaw, Kraków, and Wrocław are the country’s most populated municipalities. The smallest are Krynica Morska and Jaśliska.

The report highlights ongoing demographic shifts, including depopulation trends in several regions. These changes are likely to influence regional development strategies, spatial planning policies, and future allocations of public resources.

Business sentiment in Poland mixed across sectors in July 2025

According to Statistics Poland’s latest business tendency survey, July 2025 presented a mixed picture across sectors, with stabilisation or deterioration dominating the overall business climate. The general business climate indicators, which assess both current and expected economic conditions, showed little month-on-month improvement, except in transportation, storage, and construction.

The most optimistic outlook came from the financial and insurance sectors, where the general business climate indicator stood at +24.6. However, this was still below the long-term average of +25.4. Manufacturing showed the weakest sentiment with an indicator of -7.7, reflecting persistent pessimism in the sector.

In manufacturing, both the diagnostic and forecasting components deteriorated slightly compared to June. Construction showed a modest improvement from -4.7 to -3.3, while wholesale trade held relatively steady at -0.3. Retail trade declined further from -0.9 to -3.6, signaling weakening sentiment among consumer-facing businesses.

Transportation and storage saw a notable upswing, moving from -0.8 to +1.1, while accommodation and food services, although still positive at +11.5, dropped from +17.3 the previous month. Information and communication remained stable at +9.0.

The July survey also included special questions on the war in Ukraine and its impact on Polish businesses. The vast majority of respondents reported either no impact or only minor effects, with 91–96% of firms in all sectors falling into these categories. Serious effects or threats to company stability were more frequently cited in manufacturing and transport.

Price pressures remain a concern. In the short term, most businesses expect input costs to rise, although at a slower pace. Over the next 12 months, a similar trend is anticipated, with energy, labour, and rental costs seen as the primary drivers of rising operating expenses.

Regarding financing conditions, a significant proportion of businesses indicated that higher borrowing costs may lead to deferral of investments (17–26%) and hiring limitations (18–22%) over the coming year.

Overall, while a few sectors show resilience, broader sentiment reflects caution as inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainty continue to influence business expectations across Poland.

Polish retail sales growth slows in June 2025, despite strong year-on-year performance

Retail sales in Poland rose by 2.2% in June 2025 compared to the same month last year, according to Statistics Poland. The year-on-year growth was lower than in June 2024, when sales increased by 4.4%. On a month-to-month basis, sales fell by 1.8% compared to May.

Over the first half of the year, retail sales increased by 3.7% compared to the same period in 2024, which had seen stronger growth at 4.9%. After adjusting for seasonal factors, June retail sales were 4.2% higher than a year earlier and rose by 0.7% compared to the previous month.

Sales trends varied across sectors. The most notable year-on-year increases at constant prices were recorded in the categories of textiles, clothing and footwear (up 11.8%), furniture and household electronics (up 10.2%), motor vehicles and parts (up 7.7%), pharmaceuticals and cosmetics (up 5.8%), and fuels (up 5.7%). However, food, beverages and tobacco products, which account for the largest share of total retail sales, declined by 1.0%. A 4.0% drop was also reported in the “other” category.

Online retail continued to grow, with e-commerce sales rising by 8.0% year-on-year. The share of online sales in total retail increased from 8.2% in June 2024 to 8.7% this year. Categories with notable online activity included clothing and footwear, which saw their e-commerce share rise from 21.6% to 23.0%, and furniture and household electronics, where the share increased from 17.2% to 17.7%. However, sales of books, newspapers, and specialised store items saw a decrease in online share from 21.4% to 20.1%.

June’s slower annual growth rate was partly influenced by a lower number of trading days compared to the previous year. Despite this, some sectors continued to show resilience, particularly in categories tied to durable goods and non-food retail.

Statistics Poland’s data highlights a mixed outlook for the retail sector, with moderate growth tempered by varying performance across categories and ongoing changes in consumer behaviour, including increased reliance on online shopping.

Prague to build underpass as part of Libeň bridge reconstruction near Palmovka

Prague to Build Underpass as Part of Libeň Bridge Reconstruction Near Palmovka

Prague will build a new pedestrian underpass beneath the reconstructed section of the Libeň Bridge near Palmovka, connecting to Vojenova Street. The city council approved the proposal and tasked the Road and Motorway Directorate (TSK) with overseeing the construction. The underpass will run beneath a portion of the bridge currently under construction, which replaced a segment demolished in May 2024.

A feasibility study commissioned by the city estimates the construction cost at approximately CZK 50 million, with an additional CZK 25 million expected for the relocation of utility infrastructure. Final costs will be determined during the detailed planning phase. The underpass will form part of the broader reconstruction of the Libeň Bridge complex, which includes several technical and design updates from the original plans.

The bridge reconstruction project has faced scrutiny from the Office for the Protection of Competition (ÚOHS), which has ruled that only those works corresponding to the originally approved project may proceed. This decision followed a complaint by the construction firm Eurovia and relates to changes introduced after the original contract was awarded. The most significant modification involves replacing the historic bridge over the Vltava River with a replica built on the original piers, rather than restoring the original structure.

As a result of these revisions, ÚOHS determined that some aspects of the project may require new tenders. City councilor Zdeněk Kovářík (ODS) stated that the council has requested a comprehensive overview of the changes introduced by TSK and the city’s transportation department, along with their expected impact on the timeline and budget. He acknowledged that parts of the project may need to be re-tendered and that costs are likely to rise.

Opposition councilor Ondřej Prokop (ANO) criticised the ongoing planning, questioning the city’s decision to move forward with aspects of the project that ÚOHS has flagged as non-compliant. He argued that continuing in this manner risks violating contractual obligations and called for greater accountability from city leadership.

The reconstruction of the Libeň Bridge was awarded to Metrostav TBR following a tender launched by TSK in early 2022. Construction began in September of that year. In 2024, the so-called flood bridge section leading toward Palmovka was demolished, with replacement work beginning in May 2025. TSK has indicated plans to issue a new tender for the demolition and reconstruction of the main span over the Vltava River.

The Libeň Bridge complex, consisting of six interconnected bridges, was designed by architect Pavel Janák and completed in 1928. It had never undergone a major repair until this reconstruction effort. While previous administrations considered demolishing and replacing the entire structure, more recent plans shifted toward preservation and partial reconstruction. The decision to build a replica of the main bridge section was influenced by updated safety standards introduced following the 2018 bridge collapse in Genoa, Italy.

Ramenownia to open at SOHO by Yareal in Warsaw’s Kamionek district

In 2026, the SOHO by Yareal development in Warsaw’s Kamionek neighbourhood will see the addition of a new culinary venue as Ramenownia prepares to open its second location in the capital. The restaurant, which focuses on traditional Japanese ramen, will occupy over 123 square metres on the ground floor of the under-construction SOHO 12 building. The space, situated along the complex’s linear park, has been leased for a 10-year term.

Ramenownia, originally established in Łódź, is known for its emphasis on authenticity and quality. Its first Warsaw location opened at LIXA City Gardens in the Wola district—also developed by Yareal Polska. The company’s expansion to Kamionek will bring its ramen offerings to the city’s right bank, targeting a new customer base while maintaining its established culinary standards.

SOHO 12 is part of the fourth and final phase of the SOHO by Yareal residential development. It is located between the SOHO 10 and SOHO 14 buildings along ul. Żupnicza. The building’s design will feature a white plaster façade with a decorative pattern on the street side, and a brick tile finish facing the linear park. The ground floor will incorporate Corten steel, continuing the architectural style used in earlier phases. Completion is expected in the fourth quarter of 2025.

SOHO by Yareal is a mixed-use project that integrates residential, retail, office, and recreational functions within a modern urban layout. Developed with the principles of the 15-minute city in mind, it includes both new buildings and renovated industrial structures. The project has received the BREEAM Communities certification for sustainable urban planning and is designed to promote walkability and community engagement through limited car access and shared public spaces such as a linear park, courtyards, and terraces.

The commercial portion of SOHO by Yareal includes over 11,300 square metres of retail and service space. Food and beverage concepts form a key part of the offer. Existing tenants include cafés such as Waszyngton × Soho and etc. Speciality coffee shop. In May 2026, Green Caffè Nero is expected to open its first location in Kamionek. A historic brick building within the complex will be converted into a dining hub featuring Bułkę przez Bibułkę, Pollypizza NEOpolitan, and Baken in the second half of 2026.

Beyond dining, the complex provides a range of services. These include a preschool, a children’s play centre, a grocery store in Carrefour’s “300” format, beauty salons, and a flower shop. A large Hebe store is also scheduled to open in early 2026.

Construction is ongoing on the final residential buildings: SOHO 10, SOHO 12, and the NEFRYT apartment building. Their completion in late 2025 will mark the conclusion of the residential development at SOHO by Yareal.

Wolseley signs first lease at Greenbox Darlington logistics park

Greenbox Darlington, a recently completed logistics park in North East England, has secured its first tenant. Wolseley, a UK-based distributor specialising in plumbing, heating, cooling, and infrastructure products, has agreed to lease Unit 2, a 107,775 sq ft facility within the development.

The site, delivered through a joint venture between Partners Group and logistics developer Citivale, was completed in March 2025. It comprises three industrial units ranging from 84,950 to 215,360 sq ft and was developed with a focus on sustainability. All units meet BREEAM ‘Excellent’ and EPC ‘A’ standards and were built to achieve Net Zero Carbon performance in both construction and operation.

Wolseley’s new facility is intended to support its national branch network, offering modern distribution capacity aligned with the company’s environmental objectives. The facility is located near the A66 and A1(M), providing logistical access across the UK.

Citivale CEO James Appleton-Metcalfe noted that securing Wolseley as the first tenant demonstrates the growing demand for energy-efficient logistics space in the region.

Greenbox Darlington is part of a broader effort to meet increased demand for low-carbon logistics infrastructure. The development was marketed by HTA Real Estate and Savills, with Wolseley represented by Lambert Smith Hampton.

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