Saxony-Anhalt is approaching a potentially significant political shift as voters prepare for the state election on 6 September. With the AfD potentially in a position to take on greater responsibility in the state government, the election could have consequences extending beyond party politics to housing, infrastructure, labour availability and the wider investment environment.
An analysis based on responses to the Federal Agency for Civic Education’s Wahl-O-Mat highlights substantial differences between the AfD and other parties on the policies underpinning public services and social infrastructure. It also points to a changing political landscape compared with the state elections of 2016 and 2021 and the 2025 federal election.
For the property and construction sectors, the important question is how future policy could affect the conditions required for investment. Saxony-Anhalt depends on functioning municipal infrastructure, available workers, housing, education, healthcare and transport networks to support both residents and companies. Decisions in these areas can influence the attractiveness of cities and industrial locations to developers and employers.
The AfD supports some measures intended to reduce household costs, according to the analysis, including free transport for schoolchildren, lower childcare expenses and the continued role of publicly operated hospitals. At the same time, it takes a more restrictive position on several policies that the study regards as important to maintaining the state’s longer-term social and economic infrastructure.
One of the clearest areas of disagreement concerns international recruitment. The AfD opposes policies aimed at attracting foreign workers, according to the analysis. This has potential economic significance in sectors where employers depend on additional labour, including construction, industry and healthcare.
The issue is particularly relevant when companies make long-term location decisions. Industrial investment does not depend exclusively on available land, energy and transport infrastructure. Employers also need access to sufficient numbers of qualified workers, while employees require housing and functioning public services around major employment centres.
Housing policy represents another dividing line. The analysis identifies differences over some mechanisms used to support social housing and training, although the material does not provide sufficient detail to establish how individual proposals would affect housing delivery or development economics. The eventual consequences would depend on the specific measures pursued by a future state government.
Municipal investment is another important consideration. Local authorities influence planning, transport connections, schools and other infrastructure that can determine whether development sites remain attractive. Changes to funding priorities can therefore have consequences for property markets even when they are not presented explicitly as real estate policies.
The Wahl-O-Mat comparison also points to disagreements over climate neutrality, taxation, education programmes and initiatives addressing right-wing extremism. These issues form part of a wider divergence between the parties over the role of government and how public services should be financed and delivered.
For commercial real estate, the immediate impact of the election is likely to be less important than the policy direction that follows. Investors considering industrial, logistics, residential or other projects generally work with horizons extending well beyond an electoral cycle, making regulatory predictability and continuity of infrastructure investment particularly relevant.
Saxony-Anhalt has increasingly competed for industrial and infrastructure investment, meaning political decisions affecting skilled labour, housing and municipalities can ultimately influence its competitiveness as a business location.
The 6 September election will therefore be watched not only for its political implications. The composition and priorities of the next state government could also determine how Saxony-Anhalt approaches some of the underlying conditions required for future development and investment, from workforce availability and affordable housing to municipal infrastructure and public services.