Poland: Job offer barometer shows continued decline in second quarter

15 July 2025

The Job Offer Barometer, compiled by the Department of Economics and Finance at the University of Information Technology and Management in Rzeszów and the Office for Investment and Economic Cycles, recorded a slight decrease in June 2025. The index fell to 255.6 points from 257.8 points in May and 258.7 points in June 2024. This marks the third consecutive monthly decline, leaving the index slightly below its level at the end of last year.

Across broad occupational categories, demand remained steady for positions requiring social science education, while services saw no significant change, influenced by continued corrections in tourism and further declines in logistics. Vacancies for manual workers declined for another month, although demand remains relatively high. Meanwhile, there has been a modest and persistent increase in job offers for graduates in science fields, particularly in IT and construction. However, data suggest that growth in IT job postings stems largely from hiring by a small group of large employers, rather than broad sectoral recovery.

The registered unemployment rate, excluding seasonal workers, declined by 0.1 percentage points in May to 5.0%.

In June, more provinces recorded decreases in job advertisements than increases. Larger monthly declines were seen mostly in provinces with already low unemployment rates. Podlaskie, Lubelskie, and Opolskie provinces reported the most notable increases in job offers, while Śląskie, Pomorskie, and Małopolskie experienced the largest decreases.

Among broad occupational groups, only roles requiring science or engineering education saw an increase in vacancies compared to the previous month. This marked the seventh consecutive rise, though growth has slowed since April and remains modest. Overall, the level of job postings is still low in historical terms. Growth in job offers for these occupations was primarily driven by positions in IT and the construction industry. Other occupational groups saw a month-on-month decline in vacancies, with the most significant drop recorded among manual workers. This decline is the third in a row and the largest since December, despite sustained demand for workers in this category.

For occupations requiring education in social sciences and law, cyclical declines persisted across several job categories, though some areas showed signs of stabilization. In June, more job categories experienced declines in vacancies than increases. Notably, new job advertisements were most frequent for graphic designers, call centre employees, and marketing specialists. Demand for call centre employees, office workers, and banking professionals has remained largely stable in recent months. There are emerging signs of recovery in demand for human resources specialists and finance professionals. Marketing roles, following significant declines in previous years, have seen five consecutive months of increasing vacancies, though the overall level remains low. The real estate sector has experienced three months of rising job offers, though vacancies remain slightly below levels seen a year ago. The largest monthly decreases in job postings were observed for legal professionals and corporate procurement staff, along with continued declines in sales roles. Except for a brief pause in February, legal job vacancies have fallen consistently for a year. Customer service roles have also seen a prolonged decline since February, although the number of vacancies remains relatively high compared to historical levels.

Among job offers for graduates in science and engineering, half of the job categories recorded increases in June, while declines were generally modest. The highest number of new job postings appeared for programmers, R&D staff, and IT system administrators. Vacancies for programmers and IT administrators have gradually increased over the past eight months, except for a drop in March for administrators. However, data suggest that recent increases in IT job postings are driven mainly by recruitment efforts from a few large employers rather than a broad recovery across the sector. The number of companies seeking IT workers in the first half of 2025 was also lower than during the same period last year. Outside of IT, the construction sector continues to see a positive trend in job postings. Meanwhile, vacancies for R&D and e-commerce professionals fell in June compared to May. Engineering vacancies decreased for the fourth time this year and have been declining steadily since mid-2022.

In service professions, job vacancies rose in June only in education and media. Education has maintained a high level of job offers for several years, while media continues to follow a long-term downward trend. Other service sectors saw reductions in job postings, with the most significant declines in tourism and logistics. Tourism has entered a correction phase following record highs in the previous quarter, while logistics continues its downward trajectory, with vacancy numbers falling consistently over the past year except for a few brief periods of growth.

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